Simple sector trading [presentation ed.]

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Sim ple Sect or Trading St rat egies Profit by being in the right markets – at the right time

JOH N M URPH Y

Ou t lin e : Slide 1:

I N TERM ARKET OVERVI EW

Slide 2 - 3:

COMMODI TI ES VS. BON DS

Slide 4 - 5:

COMMODI TI ES VS. STOCKS

Slide 6 - 7: BON DS VS. STOCKS Slide 8:

DOLLAR VS. STOCKS

Slide 9 - 10:

STOCKS VS. GOLD

Slide 11 - 12: I N DUSTRY GROUPS Slide 13:

M ARKET SECTORS

Slide 14 - 15: M ARKET I N DI CES Slide 16:

SECTOR ROTATI ON M ODEL

Slide 17-28: RECEN T CHART EXAMPLES

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- Bonds and com m odit ies t rend in opposit e direct ions

- Com m odit ies follow lead of st ocks

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- I n a deflat ionary environm ent , bonds and st ocks decouple

- They t rend in opposit e direct ions

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- St ocks and t he dollar are falling t oget her : bullish for gold

- St ocks and gold st ocks t rend in opposit e direct ions

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- Ret ailers lead m arket rallies at bot t om s

- Cyclical st ocks lead at bot t om s

- Sm all st ocks lead at bot t om s

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Sect or Rot at ion Model Fr om : St ock ch a r t s.com

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Fidelit y Select I nsurance Top Sect or Fund Frida y, April 5 th, 2 0 0 2

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AeroSpace/ Defense Com es in Second Frida y, April 5 th, 2 0 0 2

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Medical Delivery in Third Place Frida y, April 5 th, 2 0 0 2

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Sm all St ocks Doing Bet t er Than Large… W e d, Apr il 1 0 th, 2 0 0 2

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Sm all Value Out perform s Sm all Grow t h W e d, Apr il 1 0 th, 2 0 0 2

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Gold St ocks As A Market Hedge Friday, April 2 6 th, 2 0 0 2

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Gold St ocks Move I nversely t o Market Friday, April 2 6 th, 2 0 0 2

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Russell 2000 Falls Under 50- Day Line Fr ida y, M a y 1 0 th, 2 0 0 2

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Sm all St ocks Slipping Fr ida y, M a y 1 0 th, 2 0 0 2

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Confessions of a Technical Analyst : W e’re Rea lly Funda m ent a l Ana lyst s

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Chart ing is Sim ple Know UP From DOWN: UP is Good… DOWN is Ba d

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This is UP… UP is Good

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