Simple sector trading [presentation ed.]

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Simple sector trading [presentation ed.]

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Murphy J.J.

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Citation preview

Sim ple Sect or Trading St rat egies Profit by being in the right markets – at the right time

JOH N M URPH Y

Ou t lin e : Slide 1:

I N TERM ARKET OVERVI EW

Slide 2 - 3:

COMMODI TI ES VS. BON DS

Slide 4 - 5:

COMMODI TI ES VS. STOCKS

Slide 6 - 7: BON DS VS. STOCKS Slide 8:

DOLLAR VS. STOCKS

Slide 9 - 10:

STOCKS VS. GOLD

Slide 11 - 12: I N DUSTRY GROUPS Slide 13:

M ARKET SECTORS

Slide 14 - 15: M ARKET I N DI CES Slide 16:

SECTOR ROTATI ON M ODEL

Slide 17-28: RECEN T CHART EXAMPLES

Slide - 1

- Bonds and com m odit ies t rend in opposit e direct ions

- Com m odit ies follow lead of st ocks

Slide - 2

Slide - 3

Slide - 4

Slide - 5

- I n a deflat ionary environm ent , bonds and st ocks decouple

- They t rend in opposit e direct ions

Slide - 6

Slide - 7

- St ocks and t he dollar are falling t oget her : bullish for gold

- St ocks and gold st ocks t rend in opposit e direct ions

Slide - 8

Slide - 9

Slide - 10

- Ret ailers lead m arket rallies at bot t om s

- Cyclical st ocks lead at bot t om s

- Sm all st ocks lead at bot t om s

Slide - 11

Slide - 12

Slide - 13

Slide - 14

Slide - 15

Sect or Rot at ion Model Fr om : St ock ch a r t s.com

Slide - 16

Fidelit y Select I nsurance Top Sect or Fund Frida y, April 5 th, 2 0 0 2

Slide - 17

AeroSpace/ Defense Com es in Second Frida y, April 5 th, 2 0 0 2

Slide - 18

Medical Delivery in Third Place Frida y, April 5 th, 2 0 0 2

Slide - 19

Sm all St ocks Doing Bet t er Than Large… W e d, Apr il 1 0 th, 2 0 0 2

Slide - 20

Sm all Value Out perform s Sm all Grow t h W e d, Apr il 1 0 th, 2 0 0 2

Slide - 21

Gold St ocks As A Market Hedge Friday, April 2 6 th, 2 0 0 2

Slide - 22

Gold St ocks Move I nversely t o Market Friday, April 2 6 th, 2 0 0 2

Slide - 23

Russell 2000 Falls Under 50- Day Line Fr ida y, M a y 1 0 th, 2 0 0 2

Slide - 24

Sm all St ocks Slipping Fr ida y, M a y 1 0 th, 2 0 0 2

Slide - 25

Confessions of a Technical Analyst : W e’re Rea lly Funda m ent a l Ana lyst s

Slide - 26

Chart ing is Sim ple Know UP From DOWN: UP is Good… DOWN is Ba d

Slide - 27

This is UP… UP is Good

Slide - 28