318 3 4MB
English Pages [630] Year 2013
Solutions Manual to Accompany Intermediate Public Economics, second edition
Solutions Manual to Accompany Intermediate Public Economics, second edition Nigar Hashimzade, Jean Hindriks, and Gareth D. Myles
The MIT Press Cambridge, Massachusetts London, England
© 2013 Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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ISBN: 978-0-262-51848-2 (paperback: alk. paper) 10
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Contents I PUBLIC ECONOMICS AND THE PUBLIC SECTOR 1 2 3
An Introduction to Public Economics Equilibrium and Efficiency Behavioral Economics
II
GOVERNMENT
4 5
Public Sector Statistics Theories of the Public Sector
3 17 53 69 81
III DEPARTURES FROM EFFICIENCY 6 7 8 9 10
Public Goods Club Goods and Local Public Goods Externalities Imperfect Competition Asymmetric Information
107 133 155 183 219
IV POLITICAL ECONOMY 11 Voting 12 Rent-Seeking
247 265
V EQUITY AND DISTRIBUTION 13 Optimality and Comparability 14 Inequality and Poverty VI 15 16 17 18
285 311
TAXATION Commodity Taxation Income Taxation Tax Evasion The Limits to Redistribution
345 373 411 433
VII MULTIPLE JURISDICTIONS 19 Fiscal Federalism 20 Fiscal Competition 21 Issues in International Taxation
447 477 499
VIII ISSUES OF TIME 22 Intertemporal Efficiency 23 Social Security 24 Economic Growth IX
523 537 561
APPLICATIONS
25 Cost–Benefit Analysis 26 Economics of Climate Policy
595 609
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Price/ cost
pn
pa pm
AC MC MR xn
AR xa x m
Output
!?=KH; )7JKH7B CEDEFEBO
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Price/ cost a
pa e pm c
d
−π
AC b
MR
MC
AR xa x m
Output
!?=KH; ;7:M;?=>J BEII
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xi Player i’s best response
0
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Player 1’s best response
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J>; ?D:?\;H;D9; 9KHL;I E< J>; ;H=IED.7CK;BIED IE9?7B M;B;I; ?D:?\;H;D9; 9KHL;I ?CFBO 78EKJ J>; :;=H;; E< 9ED9;HD E< J>; IE9?7B FB7DD;H -;F;7J ; M;B; ?D:?\;H;D9; 9KHL;I ; IE9?7B M;B;H;; I7C; ?D9EC; B;L;B />; 97B9KB7J?EDI >7L; I>EMD J>7J J>; KD?GK; EFJ?CKC ?I JE 7BBE97J; ?D9EC; ;GK?J78BO 7D: O;J J>?I IE9?7B M;B; ;NFB7D7J?ED ?I 7FF7H;DJ F7H7:EN ?I J>7J J>; M;B7J J>; IKC E< KJ?B?J?;I ?I C7N?C?P;: $J :E;I 97H; 78EKJ J>; 7BBE97J?ED E< ?D9EC; I?D9; J>; ?D:?L?:K7B KJ?B?JO ?I C7A;I IE9?7B M;B; KD?GK; 7D: ;GK?J78B; EFJ?C7B 7BBE97J?ED &8
; IE9?7B C7H=?D7B KJ?B?JO E< + # ?D9EC; ?I :;9H;7I?D= ?D & 8 EM J>7J J>; 7H=KC;DJ ;NJ;D:I JE 7DO 7DEDOCEKI 7D: 9ED97L; IE9?7B M;B7L; J>; I7C; KJ?B?JO ; KJ?B?J7H?7D IE9?7B M;B; KJ?B?JO ; C7H=?D7B KJ?B?JO E< ?D9EC; ?I . 8 8 & 8 &
+KJJ?D= J>;I; JE=;J>;H J>; IE9?7B C7H=?D7B KJ?B?JO E< ?D9EC; 8 ?I 8
0 . 8 8 & 8 8 . &
/>; ;\;9J E< 7D ?D9H;7I; ?D ?D9EC; ?I ;H;; IE9?7B C7H=?D7B KJ?B?JO E< ?D9EC; :;9H;7I;I M?J> ?D9EC; />; 7H=KC;DJ J>7J 7 TN;: IJE9A E< ?D9EC; CKIJ 8; :?IJH?8KJ;: ;GK?J78BO ?I I?CFB; JE ;IJ78B?I> IIKC; ?D9EC; ?I DEJ :?IJH?8KJ;: ;GK?J78BO />;D J>; 9ED IKC;H 7BBE97J;: J>; BEM;IJ ?D9EC; M?BB >7L; J>; >?=>;IJ IE9?7B C7H=?D7B KJ?B?JO E< ?D9EC; 7D: J>; 9EDIKC;H 7BBE97J;: J>; >?=>;IJ ?D9EC; M?BB >7L; J>; BEM;IJ IE9?7B C7H=?D7B KJ?B?JO E< ?D9EC; /H7DI?=> ?D9EC; 9EDIKC;H JE J>; BEM ?D9EC; 9EDIKC;H CKIJ ?D9H;7I; IE9?7B M;B; BEII ?D M;B?=> ?D9EC; ?I CEH; J>7D E\I;J 8O J>; ?D9H;7I; ?D M;B; BEM ?D9EC; />; I7C; 7H=KC;DJ ;IJ78B?I>;I J>7J 7 M;B;D;L;H JME 9EDIKC;HI >7L; :?\;H;DJ ?D9EC;I />;H;; EFJ?C7B 7BBE97J?ED CKIJ >7L; 7D ;GK7B :?IJH?8KJ?ED E< ?D9EC; $J ?I IJH7?=>J?I 7H=KC;DJ JE 7DO 7DEDOCEKI 7D: 9ED97L; IE9?7B M;B7L; ?:;DJ?97B KJ?B?JO ;I; 7IIKCFJ?EDI ?CFBO J>7J J>; C7H=?D7B IE9?7B KJ?B?J?;I E< ?D9EC; M?BB :;9H;7I; M?J> ?D9EC; />;O M?BB EDBO 8; ;GK7B ?< 7BB ?D9EC; B;L;BI 7H; ;GK7B #;D9; ?< ?D9EC;I 7H; DEJ :?IJH?8KJ;: ;GK?J78BO 7D ?D9H;7I; ?D J>; BEM;IJ 7D: 7 H;:K9J?ED ?D J>; >?=>;IJ M?BB H7?I; IE9?7B M;B7J 9EDIJ?JKJ; 7D ;9EDECO >7L; KJ?B?JO JE 79>?;L; 7 ?I 9EHH;9J 3098.32 />; THIJ IJ;F ?I JE :;TD; M>7J ?I C;7DJ 8O X; 7I J>; 7J DE ?D:?L?:K7B MEKB: M7DJ JE IM7F J>;?H 9EDIKCFJ?ED 8KD:B; ; 9EDIKCFJ?ED 8KD:B; E< 7DO EJ>;H 9EDIKC;H J>; DE;DLO 9ED:?J?ED />; DE;DLO 9ED:?J?ED ?I 7BCEIJ 9;HJ7?DBO JEE :;C7D:?D= JE 8; C;J ?D FH79J?9; H;7IED78B; 7BJ;HD7J?L; :;TD?J?ED E< 7 ?9> C7N?C?P;I 7 IE9?7B M;B?I I;9ED: ?DJ;HFH;J7J?ED J>; IJ7J;C;DJ ?I DEJ 9EHH;9J />; 9;DJH7B C;II7=; E< J>; .;9ED: />;EH;C ?I J>7J =EL;HDC;DJ ?DJ;HL;DJ?ED I>EKB: 8; J7H=;J;: ED ?D9EC; :?IJH?8KJ?ED $< ?D9EC; :?IJH?8KJ?ED ?I 9EHH;9J C;7D?D= J>7J J>; ;GK?B?8H?KC =?L;D J>; :?IJH?8KJ?ED M?BB 8; J>; ED; J>7J C7N?C?P;I IE 9?7B M;B;D C7HA;JI I>EKB: 8; 7BBEM;: JE EF;H7J; M?J>EKJ ?DJ;HL;DJ?ED *DBO ?< J>;H; ?I C7HA;J ?9> ?I F;H9;?L;: JE 7:L;HI;BO 7\;9J J>; KJ?B?JO ?D:?97JEHI . & . & 7D: . & 7 .>EM J>7J J>;H; 7H; L7BK;I E< 7D: J>7J 97D =;D;H7J; 7DO IE9?7B EH:;H?D= E< J>; ?D9EC; 7BBE97J?EDI 5 6 7D: 7 M>;D ;L7BK7J;: 8O J>; IE9?7B M;BEM J>7J J>; ;L7BK7J?ED L?7 J>; KJ?B?J7H?7D IE9?7B M;BE?9; E< J 7D: J>7J J>; FH;EM KD:;H J>; IE9?7B M;B; 9ECF7H?IED E< 7BBE97J?EDI KI?D= J>; IKC E< KJ?B?J?;I ?I 7\;9J;: !EH ;N7CFB; ?< J>;D 0 5 0 6 7D: 0 7 IE J>; H7DA?D= ?I 7 5 6 $< J>;D 0 5 0 6 IE J>; H7DA?D= E< 5 7D: 6 ?I H;L;HI;:
J>7J J>; EFJ?C7B 7BBE97J?ED CKIJ 8; +7H;JE;[9?;DJ 2>7J 7IIKCFJ?EDI >7L; OEK FB79;: KFED J>; IE9?7B M;B;H; L L 9>7H79J;H?P;I
J>; ; EFJ?C7B 7BBE97J?ED 8O L L /E I>EM J>7J J>; EFJ?C7B 7BBE97J?ED ?I +7H;JE;[9?;DJ
7IIKC; J>7J ?J ?I DEJ />;H; ?I J>;D 7D 7BJ;HD7J?L; 7BBE97J?ED
I7J?I J>; FHEF;HJO J>7J L L 8 8 . 8 L 8 ;H;?I 7H=KC;DJ ?J M7I 7IIKC;: J>7J J>; M;B 9EDIKC;H $< J>; M;B7J ?I DEJ +7H;JE;[9?;DJ -;97BB J>; ; ?D:?\;H;D9; 9KHL;I 7H; 'I>7F;: M?J> 9EHD;HI ED J>; B?D; />; -7MB I?7D IE9?7B M;B; KJ?B?J7H?7D ,0 M>;D
JE J>; ;HDEKBB?)7I> ,0 M>;D 7D: JE J>; C7N?C?D-7MBI?7D ,0 M>;D 3098.32 2>;D J>; M;B ?I J>; KJ?B?J7H?7D IE9?7B M;B IE9?7B M;B7J ; =H7:?;DJ E< J>; ?D:?\;H;D9; 9KHL; E< J>; M;B7J E< J>; ;HDEKBB?)7I> IE9?7B M;B; 97I; E< />;:;TD?D= FHEF;HJO E< J>; C7N?C?D-7MBI?7D IE9?7B M;B; IEBKJ?ED CKIJ >7L; L L ?< ED; M;H; >?=>;H IEC; 9EDIKCFJ?ED 9EKB: 8; JH7DI; C?D?CKC MEKB: 8; H7?I;: #;D9; L L L EH L
L
! !!& !&
x2
α1 > α 2 x
α1 < α 2 x1
x
!?=KH; (7N?C?D-7MBI?7D 7BBE97J?ED
/>; C7N?C?D-7MBI?7D IEBKJ?ED I>7H;I J>; IJE9A E< =EE: M?J> M;?=>JI 87I;: ED J>; I $< J>;D 9EDIKC;H M?BB H;9;?L; J>; =H;7J;H I>7H; 8KJ ?< 9EDIKC;H M?BB H;9;?L; J>; =H;7J;H I>7H; />?I IEBKJ?ED :E;I DEJ I>7H; J>; =EE: ;GK7BBO 8KJ ;DIKH;I KJ?B?J?;I 7H; ;GK7B?P;: />; IE9?7B ?D:?\;H;D9; 9KHL;I 7H; H?=>J 7D=B;I 8KJ J>; L7BK;I E< 7D: :;J;HC?D; J>; BE9KI KFED M>?9> J>; 9EHD;HI B?;
EM >EM J>; H;IKBJIE< FH;L?EKI ;N;H9?I; 9>7D=; ?< M; 7IIKC; 7 KJ?B?JO ; ; B;L;B E< IE9?7B M;B 7 KJ?B?J7H?7D IE9?7B M;B?9> IEBL;I JE =?L;
L L
L
L
7D: >;D9;
L
L
+HEL?:;: 7D: 8EJ> L 7D: L />; IJH?9J 9ED97L?JO E< J>; ?D:?L?:K7B KJ?B?JO 7J 9EHD;H IEBKJ?EDI 7H; 7LE?:;: />; IE9?7B M;B; ;HDEKBB?)7I> IE9?7B M;B; EFJ?C7B L7BK;I E< L 7D: L 7H; J>;H;; IEBKJ?ED 97D 8; ?9> >7I IEBKJ?ED L
L
!EH J>?I IE9?7B M;B7D=; ?D J>; KJ?B?JO ; EFJ?C7B 7BBE97J?ED 9 />; 7BBE97J?ED C7N?C?P?D= J>; C7N?C?D-7MBI?7D IE9?7B M;B #?9AIW :;TD?J?ED E< ?D9EC; 3098.32 />; #?9AIW :;TD?J?ED E< ?D9EC; ?I F>H7I;: ?D J;HCI E< J>; ;N F;9J;: B;L;B E< 9EDIKCFJ?ED J>7J M?BB B;7L; M;7BJ> KD9>7D=;: />; 9H?J?97B F>H7I; ?D H;B7J?ED JE J>; GK;IJ?ED ?I X;NF;9J Y BEJJ;HO FH?P; ?I 8O :;TD? J?ED 7 IKHFH?I; IE M?BB DEJ ; :;J;HC?D7J?ED E< J>; ;NF;9J;: B;L;B E< 9EDIKCFJ?ED !EHC7BBO J>; ;NF;9J;: L7BK; E< FH?P; CED;O ; BEJJ;HO I>EKB: 8; ?D9BK:;: ?D ?D9EC; 8KJ J>?I ?I IE IC7BB 7I JE 8; FH79J?97BBO D;=B?=?8B; />; ;N9BKI?ED E< BEJJ;HO FH?P;I ;H; J>; :;TD?J?ED E< #?9AI
; >EKI;>EB: >7L; ?D9EC; & 2?J> FH?9;I D 7D: D J>; 9>E?9; FHE8B;C ; >EKI;>EB: ?I
L
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D L
L D
L
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EH />?I ?CFB?;I J>7J
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&
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IE >7B< E< ?D9EC; ?I IF;DJ ED ?I 97DDEJ MEHA 7I 7D ;GK?L7B;D9; I97B; I?D9; J>; FHEFEHJ?ED IF;DJ ?I ?D:;F;D:;DJ E< ?D9EC; />; ;N79J ;GK?L7B;D9; I97B; ?I E8J7?D;: 8O E8I;HL?D= L
& D
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.
.
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8
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H H
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8
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L D
?L?:?D= J>; THIJ 8O J>; I;9ED:
L L
EH
L L 8
8 D
D D
D
.K8IJ?JKJ?D= ?DJE J>; 8K:=;J 9EDIJH7?DJ &
D L D L
D L D L 8
IE L
&
D 8 @@
D
D
/>; 8K:=;J I>7H; E< ?I I>7H; ?I ?D9H;7I?D= ?D 8 #EM;L;H ?J ?I ?D:;F;D:;DJ E< & IE ?J 97DDEJ 79J 7I 7D ;GK?L7B;D9; I97B; #EKI;>EB:I M?J> :?\;H;DJ B;L;BI E< ?D9EC; & M?BB IF;D: J>; I7C; I>7H; E< ?D9EC; ED ;O >7L; J>; I7C; ; ;N79J ;GK?L7B;D9; I97B; ?I ; 8K:=;J 9EDIJH7?DJ =?L;I &
D L D L D D L D L 8 D
IE L
&
D
@ 4 @
/>; KJ?B?JO B;L;B 7JJ7?D;: 8O J>; >EKI;>EB: ?I .
L
8
L
& & $
% $
% 8 D 8 @ D 4 @@
@ % $
% & $
@ 8 D 8 @ D
@
4 @
! "!& #!&
Equivalence scale
Family size !?=KH;
GK?L7B;D9; I97B;
/>?I 97D 8; IEBL;: ; ;N79J ;GK?L7B;DJ ?D9EC;I &
4 @ 4
.
@
/E ?BBKIJH7J; J>?I B;J D D 7D: . $< J>; ;GK?L7B;D9; I97B; ?I :;TD;: 7I ; ?CFB?;: I97B; ?I I>EMD ?D T=KH;
?B:H;D FHEL?:; KJ?B?JO ;?H F7H;DJI I>EM ED 7 :?7=H7C >EM 7D ;GK?L7B;D9; I97B; 97D :;9H;7I; 7I 7J 9>?B:H;D FHEL?:; KJ?B?JO JE J>;?H F7H;DJI J>; ;GK?L7B;D9; I97B; 97D 8; 7 :;9H;7I?D= ; EEI;I J>; 9EDIKCFJ?ED 7BBE97J?ED 7J FE?DJ 5 )EM 7IIKC; J>7J EKJ 7\;9J?D= J>; 8K:=;J 9EDIJH7?DJ 7D: J>7J 9>?B:H;D =?L; KJ?B?JO JE F7H;DJI BJ>EK=> FH;7D=; IK9> 7I CEL?D= JE J>; :7I>;: ?D:?\;H;D9; 9KHL; ?J CKIJ 8; J>; 97I; J>7J KJ?B?JO 7J 5 ?I DEM >?=>;H 9EDIKCFJ?ED >7I DEJ 9>7D=;: 8KJ 9>?B:H;D >7L; 7::;: KJ?B?JO 0J?B?JO ?D9H;7I;I ;H ?< J>; 9EDIKCFJ?ED FB7D ?I H;EFJ?C?P;: JE FE?DJ 6 />; ;II;DJ?7B FE?DJ ?D J>; 7H=KC;DJ 78EL; ?I J>7J J>; 8K:=;J 9EDIJH7?DJ :E;I DEJ 9>7D=; $D J>; 9EDIJHK9J?ED E< IJ7D:7H: ;GK?L7B;D9; I97B;I ?J ?I 9EDIKCFJ?ED F;H ?B:H;D
J>7J ?I C;7IKH;: IE 7::?D= 9>?B:H;D M?BB H;:K9; J>?I ;L;D ?< JEJ7B 9EDIKCFJ?ED 8O J>; 7D=; />?I MEKB: CEL; J>; 8K:=;J 9EDIJH7?DJ ?DM7H:I ?D J>; T=KH; J>KI H;:K9?D= KJ?B?JO ::?D= J>; KJ?B?JO J>7J 9>?B:H;D =?L; C7O
EH C7O DEJ B;7: JE 7 B;L;B 78EL; J>; EH?=?D7B
J;D F;HIEDI 7 +BEJ J>; 'EH;DP 9KHL; ; ?D9EC; :?IJH?8KJ?ED 8 EDI?:;H 7D ?D9EC; H;:?IJH?8KJ?ED J>7J J7A;I JME KD?JI E< ?D9EC; E< J>; ;IJ 9EDIKC;HI 7D: =?L;I JME KD?JI JE ;79> E< J>; ; 'EH;DP 9KHL; 7=7?D JE :;CEDIJH7J; J>7J ?D;GK7B?JO >7I :;9H;7I;: 9 .>EM J>7J J>; 'EH;DP 9KHL; ; ?D9EC; :?IJH?8KJ?ED 9HEII;I J>; 'EH;DP 9KHL; ; :?IJH?8KJ?ED ?D F7HJ 7 & 8 J>7J J>; JME IE9?7B M;B; ?D9EC; :?IJH?8KJ?EDI ?D F7HJI 7 7D: 9 :?\;H;DJBO 3098.32 7 />; JEJ7B L7BK; E< ?D9EC; ?D J>; FEFKB7J?ED ?I
/>?I ?I KI;: JE 9ECFKJ; J>; THIJ J>H;; 9EBKCDI E< J78B; +BEJJ?D= J>; J>?H: 9EBKCD 2 7N?I 7=7?DIJ J>; 9EBKCD 1 7N?I FHE:K9;I J>; EKJ;H 'EH;DP 9KHL; ?D T=KH; 8 />; D;M ?D9EC; :?IJH?8KJ?ED ?I />; :7J7 ?I 7H; =?L;D ?D J78B; +BEJJ?D= J>; 'EH;DP 9KHL; ?I ?D9EC;
! "!& #!&
$D9EC;
.KC
+HEFEHJ?ED E< /EJ7B
+HEFEHJ?ED E< +EFKB7J?ED
/78B; 7J7 ; ?DD;H 9KHL; H;FH;I;DJI 7 BEM;H :;=H;; E< ?D;GK7B?JO 9 />; :7J7 7H; I>EMD ?D J78B; ECF7H?D= J>?I M?J> J>; :7J7 ?D J78B; I>EMI J>7J J>; JME 'EH;DP 9KHL;I 9HEII />; 9KHL; 7J ; JME M;B; ?D9EC; B;L;BI E< 7 FEFKB7J?ED E< " >EKI;>EB:I 8; 7HH7D=;: ?D ?D9H;7I?D= EH:;H IE & ?I J>; BEM;IJ ?D9EC; 7D: & ?I J>; >?=>;IJ ?D9EC; />; "?D? ! 97D 8; ;NFH;II;: 8O 9EDI?:;H?D= 7BB FEII?8B; F7?HI E< ?D9EC;I 7D: EKJ E< ;79> F7?H I;B;9J?D= J>; C?D?CKC ?D9EC; B;L;B .KCC?D= J>; C?D?CKC ?D9EC; B;L;BI 7D: :?L?:?D= 8O "
M>;H; ?I J>; C;7D ?D9EC; JE ;DIKH; 7 L7BK; 8;JM;;D 7D: FHEL?:;I J>; ; ?D:;N >7I J>; L7BK; E< EB: />; "?D? 9E;[9?;DJ FHEL?:;I 7D KD7C8?=KEKI H7DA?D= E< J>; ?D9EC; :?IJH?8KJ?EDI $J 7=H;;I M?J> J>; H7DA?D= 8O J>; 'EH;DP 9KHL; M>;D J>; 9KHL;I ; 7H;7 8;JM;;D J>; 'EH;DP 9KHL; 7D: J>; :?7=ED7B 7H;7 5 ?D T=KH; 7I 7 FHEFEHJ?ED E< J>; 7H;7 KD:;H J>; :?7=ED7B E< J>; 8EN />; "?D? 97D 8; KI;: JE :;J;HC?D; J>; ?CF79J E< J7N;I 7D: JH7DI; ?D:;N ; ?D9EC; :?IJH?8KJ?ED 8;HEK=> 9 E< ;N;H9?I; ?I9KII J>; L7BK;I E8J7?D;: 3098.32 !EH J>; :7J7 =?L;D " />; "?D? ?D:;N ?I :;TD;: 8O
" & " & " & & "
/>; THIJ ?D9EC; :?IJH?8KJ?ED ?I IE 7D: !
!
/>; I;9ED: ?D9EC; :?IJH?8KJ?ED ?I IE 7D: !
/>; J>?H: ?D9EC; :?IJH?8KJ?ED ?I IE 7D: !
/>; "?D? 9E;[9?;DJ FHEL?:;I 7D KD7C8?=KEKI H7DA?D= E< J>; ?D9EC; :?IJH?8K J?EDI $J 7=H;;I M?J> J>; 'EH;DP H7DA?D= M>;D J>; 'EH;DP 9KHL;I :E DEJ 9HEII />; "?D? H7DAI J>; J>?H: ?D9EC; :?IJH?8KJ?ED 7I >7L?D= J>; CEIJ ?D;GK7B?JO ;L;D J>EK=> ?JI 'EH;DP 9KHL; 9HEII;I J>; 9KHL; ; THIJ :?IJH?8KJ?ED
; ;N;H9?I; ; -7MBI?7D IE9?7B M;B; BE=7H?J>C?9 KJ?B?JO ; THIJ ?D9EC; :?IJH?8KJ?ED
#&! & #&! #&! #&! #&! #&! #&! #&! #&! #&! #&! IE =?L?D=
#&! &
& 9
!EH J>; I;9ED: ?D9EC; :?IJH?8KJ?ED
#&! #&! #&! #&! #&! & #&! #&! #&! #&! #&! #&! =?L?D=
& 9
!EH J>; J>?H: ?D9EC; :?IJH?8KJ?ED
#&! & #&! #&! #&! #&! #&! #&! #&! #&! #&! #&! =?L?D=
& 9
/>; JA?DIED ?D;GK7B?JO C;7IKH; ?I :;TD;: 8O
&
7B9KB7J?D= J>?I ; J>H;; :?IJH?8KJ?EDI =?L;I
/>; L7BK; E< & M>;D IE9?7B M;B; C?D?CKC ?D9EC; B;L;B />?I =?L;I
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Variable
Flanders
French-sp. comm.
Flanders
French-sp. comm.
ESCS of pupil
0:136 (4:84) 1:786 (13:96)
0:146 (3:19) 1:742 (12:86)
19:593 (293:27) 5033:719
18:770 (213:46) 2437:750
0:114 (4:30) 1:735 (13:49) 0:413 ( 2:60) 0:509 ( 3:04) 0:515 ( 3:31) 19:654 (309:23) 4997:498
0:110 (2:45) 1:658 (13:06) 0:284 ( 2:73) 0:349 ( 2:88) 0:488 ( 2:83) 18:857 (212:34) 2417:368
61:060% 0:670% 3430 238
59:130% 0:841% 1517 141
61:060% 2:824% 3430 238
58:342% 3:806% 1517 141
Sub-school average ESCS First-generation immigrant Second-generation immigrant Immigrant that does not speak o¢ cial Belgian language at home Constant Log likelihood Variation explained: Between sub-schools Within sub-schools Number of level 1 units Number of level 2 units
Table 14.7: Inequality: a multilevel regression approach. Dependent variable: …rst principal component of …rst plausible value of test scores in reading, math and science
Figure 14.11: Distribution of PISA 2006 test scores by ESCS quartile (Belgium: Flanders)
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Figure 14.12: Distribution of PISA 2006 test scores by ESCS quartile(Belgium: French-speaking community)
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−1
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1 10
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IE 7 >?=>IA?BB F;HIED M?BB MEHA CEH; J>7D 7 BEMIA?BB F;HIED />; :?IFEI78B; ?D 9EC; E< J>; >?=>IA?BB CKIJ J>;H;; B78EH C7HA;J F7HJ?9?F7J?ED 9ED:?J?ED ?I
4
H K .EBL?D= J>?I ?D;GK7B?JO FHEL?:;I J>; 9ED:?J?ED =?L;D ?D J>; GK;IJ?ED 8 ';J J>; IA?BB B;L;B >7L; 7 :?IJH?8KJ?ED :;I9H?8;: 8O J>; :;DI?JO ; FEFKB7J?ED H;9;?L;I J>; KD9ED:?J?ED7B 8;D;TJ #EM;L;H
?D9EC; J7N ?I F7?: EDBO 8O J>EI; M>E F7HJ?9?F7J; ?D ;CFBEOC;DJ />; 8K:=;J 9EDIJH7?DJ ; =EL;HDC;DJ ?I ) G ) G : K8K HK4 K : K8K G G # 0 / M>;H; K ?I J>; BEM;IJ M7=; K ?I J>; >?=>;IJ M7=; 7D: $) K D 97FJKH;I FEJ;DJ?7B DEDF7HJ?9?F7J?ED .K8IJ?JKJ?D= ; 8K:=;J 9EDIJH7?DJ 8;9EC;I ) G ) G
: K8K : K8K HK
H K G G # ) G H K: K8K G # ) H G : K8K H G # 9 )EHC7B?P?D= J>; JEJ7B FEFKB7J?ED 7J IE 9EDIJH7?DJ I?CFB?T;I JE HK5
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: K8K J>; 8K:=;J
M>;H; K5 ?I J>; C;7D M7=; E< J>EI; ?D ;CFBEOC;DJ 7D: )5 ?I J>; FHEFEHJ?ED E< J>; FEFKB7J?ED ?D ;CFBEOC;DJ $< J>; ;DJ?H; FEFKB7J?ED F7HJ?9?F7J; ?D ;CFBEO C;DJ J>;D K5 K 7D: )5 -;JKHD JE J>; F7HJ?9?F7J?ED 9ED:?J?ED />; BE9KI E< 9H?J?97B L7BK;I E< 7D: H 97D 8; MH?JJ;D 7I
H K
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!?=KH; +7HJ?9?F7J?ED 7D: J>; 8K:=;J FEII?8?B?J?;I
/>?I ?I 7 :EMDM7H: IBEF?D= IJH7?=>J B?D; +7?HI H 78EL; J>; B?D; ?CFBO DED F7HJ?9?F7J?ED M>?B; F7?HI H 8;BEM J>; B?D; ?CFBO 7BB F7HJ?9?F7J; />; T=KH; IA;J9>;I J>; FEII?8?B?J?;I />; BE9KI ?CFB?;: 8O M>;D K5 K 7D: )5 ?I :H7MD IEB?: $< J>; B?D; :;I9H?8;: 8O B?;I ;L;HOM>;H; 78EL; J>?I J>;D J>;H; ?I 7BM7OI ; JME ?DJ;HI;9J J>;D J>; BE9KI E< F7?HI J>7J I7J?I; 8K:=;J ?I 9>7D=;: JE J>; :7I>;: I;9J?ED H?=>J>7D: F7D;B : $< J>;H; ?I ; 8K:=;J 9EDIJH7?DJ ?I HK IE
H H
H HK H />; :?IFEI78B; ?D9EC; E< J>; BEM;IJIA?BB 9EDIKC;H ?I
L H K 4 H K .K8IJ?JKJ?D= ; J7N H7J; J>7J C7N?C?P;I J>?I ?D9EC; M>?BIJ =K7H7DJ;;?D= F7HJ?9?F7J?ED IEBL;I
H H $) H K I J
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D $< J>; 9EDIJH7?DJ ?I 8?D:?D= 97D 8; H;FB79;: ?D J>; E8@;9J?L; ; THIJEH:;H 9ED:?J?ED IEBL;: JE =?L; H
! !%!
/>?I IEBKJ?ED 7FFB?;I ?< J>; F7HJ?9?F7J?ED 9EDIJH7?DJ ?I 8?D:?D= M>?9> ?J M?BB 8; M>;D ;H; ;79> 9EDIKC;H >7I ED; E< JME IA?BB B;L;BI />; BEM IA?BB B;L;B ?I G 7D: J>; >?=> IA?BB B;L;B ?I G />;H; 7H; ' 9EDIKC;HI ?D JEJ7B 7D: B9 >7L; IA?BB B;L;B = 79> 9EDIKC;H >7I FH;; ?D9;DJ?L; 9ECF7J?8?B?JO 9EDIJH7?DJI ; ;9EDECO 2>?9> M?BB 8?D: 7J J>; EFJ?CKC 8 IIKC?D= J>7J DE H;L;DK; ?I JE 8; 9EBB;9J;: MH?J; :EMD J>; EFJ?C?P7J?ED :;I9H?8?D= J>; EFJ?C7B 7BBE97J?ED ; ?D9;DJ?L; 9ECF7J?8?B?JO 9EDIJH7?DJ 7D: J>; FHE:K9J?ED 9ED IJH7?DJ 97D 8; IEBL;: JE ;NFH;II L 7D: L ?D J;HCI E< ?D9EC;I 7D: IA?BBI : 0I; J>;I; IEBKJ?EDI JE E8J7?D;: 7 H;:K9;: ; ;\;9J E< 9>7D=?D= J>; H;B7J?L; FEFKB7J?ED FHEFEHJ?EDI 3098.32 7 />; F7?H E< ?D9;DJ?L; 9ECF7J?8?B?JO 9EDIJH7?DJI 7H; N
N
L L G
G
N N
L L G G />; I;9ED: E< J>;I; M?BB 8; 8?D:?D= 7J 7D EFJ?CKC J>; THIJ M?BB DEJ 8 />; ; ?D9;DJ?L; 9ECF7J?8?B?JO 9EDIJH7?DJ ; FHE:K9J?ED 9EDIJH7?DJ =?L;I N N
B N B N B
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: .K8IJ?JKJ?D= J>; ;NFH;II?EDI ; M;B;H;; ?CFB?;: 9EDIKCFJ?ED B;L;BI 7H; G
G G G L B B B ' G G G G G B B B L ' G ; />; IC7BB;H B ?I H;B7J?L; JE ' J>; 9BEI;H 8;9EC; J>; 9EDIKCFJ?ED B;L;BI />?I ?I 8;97KI; J>;H; 7H; ?=> IA?BB JE H;:?IJH?8KJ; 7J ?D9EC; B;L;B :E DEJ 9>7D=; 7I J>; FEFKB7J?ED FHEFEHJ?EDI 9>7D=; />?I ?I 8;97KI; J>; ?D9EC; B;L;BI 7H; 7J J>; THIJ8;IJ J>7J MEKB: 8; 79>?;L;: ?D J>; 78I;D9; E< J>; ?D9;DJ?L; 9ECF7J?8?B?JO 9EDIJH7?DJ #;D9; B78EH IKFFBO ?I DEJ :?IJEHJ;: ?D J>?I ;9EDECO
; D;=7J?L; ?D9EC; J7N 7BB ?D:?L?:K7BI 7H; =K7H7DJ;;: 7 C?D?CKC IJ7D:7H: E< B?L?D= 8O 8;?D= 7M7H:;: 7 =H7DJ 7D: J>; =H7DJ ?I H;:K9;: 7I J>;?H ;7HD?D=I H?I; J>EK=> 8O B;II J>7D ED;; =EL;HDC;DJ F7OI OEK 7 H;?I J7N 9H;:?J ?I J>;D F>7I;: EKJ 7?D= 7 C7N?CKC IE J>7J J>; 9H;:?J =E;I JE P;HE ; MEHA ?D9;DJ?L;I E< J>; M7=; IK8I?:O 7D: J>; D;=7J?L; ?D9EC; J7N ; ;DJ?H; ?D9EC; :?IJH?8KJ?ED 0I; 7 :?7=H7C 7D: ;NFB7?D 8 IIKC; 7 FEL;HJO B?D; TN;: 7J ;I?=D 7 D;=7J?L; ?D9EC; J7N JE 9EC87J FEL;HJO 8O 9>EEI?D= 7 87I?9 =H7DJ B;L;B 7D: 7D ?CFB?9?J J7N H7J; 7J M>?9> J>?I =H7DJ ?I H;:K9;: 7I ?D9EC;I H?I; 2>7J 7H; J>; JH7:;E\I ?DLEBL;: ?D I;JJ?D= J>; =H7DJ B;L;B 7D: J7N H7J; 2>7J 7H; J>; ;[9?;D9O 7D: ;GK?JO ;\;9JI E< 9>EEI?D= :?\;H;DJ =H7DJ B;L;BI 7D: J7N H7J;I #EM M?BB J>; FHE=H7C 7\;9J F;EFB; M?J> :?\;H;DJ ?D9EC;I 9 )EM 9EDI?:;H J>; FEII?8?B?JO E< KI?D= 97J;=EH?97B M;B?I C?D?CKC =H7DJ ?I J7A;D
! !%!
Consumption
Consumption
c
χ β
b a Leisure
α Leisure
!?=KH; );=7J?L; ?D9EC; J7N 7D: M7=; IK8I?:O
7M7O ED; EKB: J>; =EL;HDC;DJ 9>EEI; J>; H?=>J 97J;=EH?;I ; 7:L7DJ7=;I 7D: :?I7:L7DJ7=;I E< 97J;=EH?97B =H7DJI H;B7J?L; JE D;=7J?L; ?D9EC; J7N 3098.32 7 />; D;=7J?L; ?D9EC; J7N ?I =H7F>;: ?D J>; B;7D: F7D;B E< T=KH; 7D: J>; M7=; IK8I?:O ?D J>; H?=>J>7D: F7D;B />; D;=7J?L; ?D9EC; J7N FHEL?:;I 7 =H7DJ ; J>7J =?L;I 7D ?D9EC; 7J P;HE B78EH FE?DJ 5 />; =H7DJ ?I ;DJ?H;BO F>7I;: EKJ 7J FE?DJ 6 />; 9EDI;GK;D9; E< J>; D;=7J?L; ?D9EC; J7N ?I J>7J J>; 8K:=;J 9EDIJH7?DJ >7I 7 A?DA 7J 6 />?I =?L;I 7D ?D9;DJ?L; JE ;?J>;H 9>EEI; 7 BEM B78EH IKFFBO EH 7 >?=> B78EH IKFFBO 2?J> 9EDL;N ?D:?\;H;D9; 9KHL;I DEED; M?BB 9>EEI; JE IKFFBO 7HEKD: FE?DJ 6 />; M7=; IK8I?:O 97KI;I J>; 8K:=;J 9EDIJH7?DJ JE H?I; IJ;;FBO ; H?=>J>7D: F7D;B />; =H7:?;DJ E< J>; 8K:=;J 9EDIJH7?DJ J>;D :;9H;7I;I 7I J>; M7=; IK8I?:O ?I F>7I;: EKJ KDJ?B ?J H;79>;I FE?DJ />; ;\;9J E< J>?I ?DJ;HL;DJ?ED ?I =?L; 7D ?D9;DJ?L; JE FHEL?:; 7 B78EH IKFFBO E< 7J B;7IJ 8 />; 8;IJ M7O JE ?:;DJ?; FHE8B;CI ?I JE 9EDI?:;H J>; ;\;9J E< J>; I?CFB;IJ IEBKJ?ED />?I IEBKJ?ED ?I JE I;J J>; =H7DJ B;L;B 7J 7D: M?J>:H7M J>; =H7DJ 7J J>; H7J; E< ;7HD;: />; :H7M879A E< J>?I 7FFHE79> ?I J>7J ?J =?L;I DE ?D9;DJ?L; EI; M>E MEKB: 8; ?D FEL;HJO M?J>EKJ J>; I9>;C; JE IKFFBO 7DO B78EH $DIJ;7: J>;O M?BB @KIJ 799;FJ J>; =H7DJ !KHJ>;HCEH; J>; H7J; E< M?J>:H7M7B E< J>; =H7DJ FHEL?:;I DE ?D9;DJ?L; JE ;7HD ?D9EC; 78EL; J>; =H7DJ KDB;II 7D 7CEKDJ ?D ;N9;II E< MEKB: 8; ;7HD;: BEM;H =H7DJ J>;H;:H7M7B FHEL?:;I 7D ?D9;DJ?L; JE ;7HD 78EL; J>; C?D?CKC =H7DJ />; :H7M879A ?I J>7J FEL;HJO C7O DEJ 8; ; ?DJ;DJ?ED ?I JE ;B?C?D7J; FEL;HJO J>; 97J;=EH?97B =H7DJ I>EKB: 8; J7H=;J;: 7J J>EI; M>E MEKB: H;C7?D ?D FEL;HJO ?< 7DO BEM;H =H7DJ M;H; E\;H;:
: />; 7:L7DJ7=; E< 97J;=EH?97B =H7DJI ?I J>7J J>;O 97D 8; KI;: JE IKFFEHJ J>EI; M>E MEKB: ;7HD B?JJB; EI; M>E MEKB: ;7HD 78EL; J>; FEL;HJO B?D; />?I ?I JHK; ?< J>; =H7DJ 97D 8; :;B?L;H;: JE J>EI; M?J> J>; 9EHH;9J 9>7H79J;H?IJ?9I
;H M?J> J>; KJ?B?JO ;H; L ?I 9EDIKCFJ?ED 7D: @ ?I B;?IKH; />; CEJ>;H 97D MEHA KF JE >EKHI F;H CEDJ> DO E< J>; >EKHI J>7J 7H; DEJ MEHA;: 7H; B;?IKH; >EKHI .>; ;7HDI 7 M7=; E< F;H >EKH 7D: F7OI DE J7N;I />; 9EDIKCFJ?ED FH?9; ?I DEHC7B?P;: JE /E 8; 78B; JE MEHA I>; >7I JE ?D9KH 7 9>?B: 97H; 9EIJ E< EKH MEHA;: 7 .KFFEI; J>;H; 7H; DE J7N 7D: M;BEKHI M?BB I>; MEHA 7D: M>7J M?BB 8; >;H 9EDIKCFJ?ED B;L;B H7M J>; =H7F> :;F?9J?D= >;H 8K:=;J I;J M?J> 9EDIKCFJ?ED ED J>; L;HJ?97B 7N?I 7D: B;?IKH; ED J>; >EH?PEDJ7B 7N?I 8 .KFFEI; J>; =EL;HDC;DJ ?DJHE:K9;I 7 D;=7J?L; ?D9EC; J7N ' #- J>7J =K7H7DJ;;I 7D ?D9EC; E< F;H CEDJ> />; 8;D;TJ ?I J7A;D 7M7O ED; ; D;M 8K:=;J I;J ECFKJ; J>; D;M DKC8;H E< >EKHI MEHA;: 7D: 9EDIKCFJ?ED B;L;B #7I 9EDIKCFJ?ED ?D9H;7I;: 7D: ?I J>; CEJ>;H 8;JJ;H E\ 2>O EH M>O DEJ 9 )EM IKFFEI; J>; ?D9EC; =K7H7DJ;; ?I H;:K9;: 8O ED; >7B< JE J>; 7CEKDJ E< F;H CEDJ> 2>7J ?I J>; D;M DKC8;H E< >EKHI MEHA;: 7D: J>; 9EDIKCFJ?ED B;L;B ECF7H; M?J> OEKH H;IKBJ ?D F7HJ 8 : )EM 9EDI?:;H J>; ?D9EC; =K7H7DJ;; 7I ?D F7HJ 8 E< F;H CEDJ> 7D: IKFFEI; J>; =EL;HDC;DJ 9ECFB;C;DJI J>?I 8;D;TJ 8O E\;H?D= ?B: 97H; H7M J>; D;M 8K:=;J I;J 7D: 97B9KB7J; J>; DKC8;H E< >EKHI MEHA;: 7D: 9EDIKCFJ?ED B;L;B 7B9KB7J; J>; JEJ7B 9EIJ E< J>; FHE=H7C ; =EL;HDC;DJ #EM :E;I ?J 9ECF7H; M?J> J>; FHE=H7C ?D F7HJ 8 ;TD; FHE=H7C ;[9?;D9O 7I J>; H7J?E E< J>; CEJ>;HWI 9EDIKCFJ?ED JE =EL;HDC;DJ ;NF;D:?JKH; 2>?9> FHE=H7C :EC?D7J;I ED ;[9?;D9O =HEKD:I 3098.32 7 />; M7=; B;II 9>?B: 97H; 9EIJ ?I F;H >EKH />; 8K:=;J 9EDIJH7?DJ ?I L 4 M>;H; 4 ?I B78EH IKFFBO $D9EHFEH7J?D= J>; JEJ7B J?C; 7L7?B78?B?JO 7D: J>; 8K:=;J 9EDIJH7?DJ ?DJE J>; KJ?B?JO ; D;9;II7HO 9ED:?J?ED EEI?D= 4 ?I 4
4
! !%!
Consumption 500
100
Leisure
!?=KH; K:=;J I;J
.EBL?D= =?L;I 4
7D:
/>; 8K:=;J I;J ?I 7 :EMDM7H: IBEF?D= IJH7?=>J B?D; M?J> =H7:?;DJ I>EMD ?D T=KH; 8 />; ?D9EC; =K7H7DJ;; ?I ?I ?I H;:K9;: 7I ?D9EC; ?I ?D9H;7I;: 7D: H;79>;I P;HE M>;D ?D9EC; H;79>;I 2>;D MEHA?D= 9>?B: 97H; 9EIJI >7L; JE 8; F7?: />; 8K:=;J 9EDIJH7?DJ ?I 4 4
4 4
L 4 4 4
L
/>?I ?I =H7F>;: ?D J>; T=KH; />; 8K:=;J IBEF;I :EMDM7H: ; =K7H7DJ;;: ?D9EC; ?I IJ;7:?BO M?J>:H7MD 7D: 9>?B: 97H; 9EIJI >7L; JE 8; F7?: />; 9>E?9; FHE8B;C ; 9EDIKC;H ?I M>;J>;H J>;O FH;; 7BBE97J?ED ?9> ?I IJ?BB 7JJ7?D78B; EH J>; 7BBE97J?ED 7J FE?DJ 5 />; KJ?B?JO E< J>; 7BBE97J?ED ; KJ?B?JO )$/
/>; FHEL?I?ED E< J>; D;=7J?L; ?D9EC; J7N C7A;I J>; I?D=B; CEJ>;H FH;; ?D9EC; =K7H7DJ;; ?I H;:K9;: JE J>; KJ?B?JO E< DEJ MEHA?D= ?I .
#&!
#&!
/>; I?D=B; CEJ>;H J>;H; J>; D;=7J?L; ?D9EC; J7N : $< ?B: 97H; ?I E\;H;: J>; 8K:=;J 9EDIJH7?DJ 8;9EC;I 4
4 4
L 4 4
/>?I ?I =H7F>;: ?D T=KH; />; 9>E?9; ?I 8;JM;;D FE?DJ 5 M>?9> =?L;I KJ?B?JO 7D: J>; IEBKJ?ED JE $) .
0
/>; B7JJ;H >7I J>; IEBKJ?ED
#&! 4 #&!
4
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#&!
. #&!
! !%!
Consumption 1000
a
200
80 100
Leisure
!?=KH; !H;; 9>?B: 97H;
/>?I EKJ9EC; ?I FH;; JEJ7B 9EIJ E< J>?I FHE=H7C ?I J>; IK8I?:O JE 9>?B: 97H; 79> >EKH 9EIJI
7D: >EKHI 7H; MEHA;: IE J>; 9EIJ ?I />; 9EIJ E< J>; FHE=H7C ?D F7HJ 8 ?I J>; D;=7J?L; ?D9EC; J7N E< +HE=H7C ;[9?;D9O 7I E7J J>; IA?BB :?IJH?8KJ?ED ?I ?:;DJ?97B JE J>; ?D9EC; :?IJH?8KJ?ED />?I D;;: DEJ 8; J>; 97I; IIKC; J>; KJ?B?JO ;HM?I; 7 +HEL?:; 7D ?DJ;HFH;J7J?ED E< J>?I KJ?B?JO 7J J>; IA?BB B;L;B E< 7BB 9EDIKC;HI ?I IJH?9JBO FEI?J?L; 2>7J M?BB 8; J>; E8I;HL;: :?IJH?8KJ?ED E< ?D9EC; 9 2?BB J>?I 8; ?:;DJ?97B JE J>; IA?BB :?IJH?8KJ?ED
: ECC;DJ ED J>; FH79J?9; E< 7IIKC?D= J>; ?D9EC; 7D: IA?BB :?IJH?8KJ?EDI 7H; ?:;DJ?97B 3098.32 7 />; KJ?B?JO 7J J>;H; ?I 7 C?D?CKC B;L;B E< 9EDIKCFJ?ED L J>7J 9EDIKC;HI M?I> JE 79>?;L; $< J>;O :E DEJ 79>?;L; J>?I J>;O E8J7?D 7D ?DTD?J;BO BEM KJ?B?JO Z J>?I 9EKB: 8; ?DJ;HFH;J;: 7I IJ7HL7J?ED 8EL; J>; B;L;B E< 9EDIKCFJ?ED L KJ?B?JO :;9H;7I;I M?J> ;H B78EH BB 9EDIKC;HI M?BB IKFFBO IK[9?;DJ B78EH JE 79>?;L; J>; 9EDIKCFJ?ED B;L;B L 8KJ DE CEH; 8 />; E8I;HL;: ?D9EC;I 7H; 9ECFB;J;BO ;GK7B?P;: 7BB 9EDIKC;HI M?BB ;7HD @KIJ IK[9?;DJ JE FKH9>7I; 9EDIKCFJ?ED B;L;B L 9 />; ?D9EC; :?IJH?8KJ?ED ?I ;DJ?H;BO ?D:;F;D:;DJ E< J>; IA?BB :?IJH?8KJ?ED : />?I ;N7CFB; I>EMI >EM KJ?B?JO C7N?C?P7J?ED 9EC;I 8;JM;;D J>; IA?BB :?IJH?8KJ?ED 7D: J>; E8I;HL;: ?D9EC; :?IJH?8KJ?ED />;H; ?I DE D;9;II7HO 9ED D;9J?ED 8;JM;;D J>; JME :?IJH?8KJ?EDI -;; IF;9?T97J?ED E< CE:;BI E< EFJ?CKC ?D9EC; J7N7J?ED *0-)' *" 0'% *)*(%. Z
; ?DJ;HL7B 2 M?J> C;:?7D ?D9EC; 8;BEM J>; 7L;H7=; ?D9EC; M= M EDI?:;H J>; GK7:H7J?9 J7N 7 J>; KD?; FHEFEHJ?ED7B?JO F7H7C;J;H 7D: 5 5 J>; FHE=H;II?L?JO H;=H;II?L?JO F7H7C;J;H !;7I?8B; J7N7J?ED H;GK?H;I H M M 7J J7N7J?ED ?I FKH;BO H;:?IJH?8KJ?L; IE J>7J 8K:=;J 87B7D9; H;GK?H;I ' H M8 M 2?J> J>; GK7:H7J?9 J7N I9>;:KB; H M 7 6M 5M J>; 8K:=;J 87B7D9; H;GK?H;C;DJ ?CFB?;I J>7J 7 6M 5M M>;H; M ?I J>; 7L;H7=; ' E< IGK7H; ?D9EC; B;L;BI M 8 M .>EM J>7J ;H; ;N?IJI 7 ;C; H 7 6 M 5 M M?J> 5 5 6 6 7D: 7 7 IK9> J>7J CEH; J>7D >7B< J>; LEJ;HI MEKB: FH;; JME J7N I9>;:KB;I H 7 6 M 5 M 7D: H 7 6 M 5 M 7D: B;J -
H H 7 7 6 6 M 5 5 M 7 6M 5M
M?J> 5 5 5 6 6 6 7D: 7 7 7 !HEC J>; 87B7D9;: 8K:=;J 9EDIJH7?DJ M; >7L; 7 6M 5M B;7HBO - ?I IJH?9JBO 9EDL;N M?J> 7 D;=7J?L; ?DJ;H9;FJ .?D9; - ?I IJH?9JBO 9EDL;N KI?D= %;DI;DWI ?D;GK7B?JO M; =;J ) ) / / - M M8 M - M 8 M
.E - M 7D: I?D9; - ?I IJH?9JBO 9EDL;N - CKIJ 8; IJH?9JBO ?D9H;7I?D= 7D: J>;H;EI; M?J> ?D9EC; 8;BEM J>;
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#;D9; J>; B?; '7=H7D=?7D ; THIJEH:;H 9ED:?J?EDI
F & F
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7D: J>; D;M B?; H;IKBJI E< F7HJ 7 7D: H;FB79?D= J>; 7; B? J>; H;J?H;C;DJ I7L?D= FHE=H7C
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F & F
F & G & F
F F & F M>;H; ?I J>; J>H;I>EB: ; IJ;;F;H I;9J?ED E< J>; 8K:=;J 9EDIJH7?DJ >7I FHEL?:;: 7D ?D9;DJ?L; ; M;7BJ> IK8IJ?JKJ?ED ;\;9J I?D9; =EL;HDC;DJ ?I I7L?D= 7L; JE I7L; B;II />; H;J?H;C;DJ ;\;9J 79JK7BBO =E;I J>; EJ>;H M7O OEK 7H; H;J?H?D= ;7HB?;H IE OEK I7L; CEH; ; $D:?L?:K7B -;J?H;C;DJ 99EKDJI $- JE :E J>?I 0. ;L?:;D9; IK==;IJI J>7J $- >EB:;HI I7L; CEH; J>7D DED$- >EB:;HI 7 #EM 97D J>; J>;EHO ;NFB7?D J>7J $-I ?D9H;7I; I7L?D=I 2>7J 7H; J>; ?D9EC; ;\;9JI 7D: J>; IK8IJ?JKJ?ED ;\;9JI 2>7J 78EKJ J>; H;FB79;C;DJ ;\;9J E< IK8IJ?JKJ?D= $-I ; FHE=H7C 8 $I J>; ;L?:;D9;87I;: FH;:?9J?ED J>7J $-I ?D9H;7I; I7L?D=I D;9;II7H?BO 9EHH;9J 2>O EH M>O DEJ #EM C?=>J J>; :?IJ?D9J?ED 8;JM;;D FH?L7J; 7D: D7J?ED7B I7L?D=I 7\;9J J>; 7D7BOI?I 3098.32 7 />; J>;EHO 97DDEJ FH;:?9J J>7J $-I ?D9H;7I; I7L?D=I ;N9;FJ ?< $- I9>;C;I FHEL?:;I 8;JJ;H H;JKHDI ED I7L?D=I ; = J>HEK=> J7N :;:K9J?8?B?JO E< 9EDJH?8KJ?EDI JE $-I *J>;HM?I; $- I7L?D=I M?BB I?CFBO H;FB79; I7L?D= 7BH;7:O :ED; EKJI?:; J>; FHE=H7C 8 )E 7I BED= 7I F7HJ?9?F7J?ED JE $- I9>;C;I ?I LEBKDJ7HO />?I ?I 8;97KI; J>EI; M>E B?A; JE I7L; M?BB 9>EEI; JE ?DL;IJ ?D $-I 7D: J>EI; M>E :EDWJ M?BB DEJ ?DL;IJ ?D $-I />?I ?I I;B<I;B;9J?ED E< 9EDJH79J 87I;: ED ?D:?L?:K7B FH; FEB?9O MEHI; 8;97KI; E< J>; 7::?J?ED7B J7N 9EIJI E< J>; FEB?9O
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!?=KH; +;H 97F?J7 EKJFKJ 7D: FEFKB7J?ED =HEMJ>
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Y/N 50000 45000 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 0
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!?=KH; +;H 97F?J7 EKJFKJ 7D: I7L?D=
8 D ?D9H;7I; ?D J>; FHE:K9J?L?JO E< 97F?J7B H;IKBJI ?D 7D ?D9H;7I; E< EKJFKJ F;H MEHA;H B;L;B E< 97F?J7B =?L;D J>; B78EKH ?DFKJ />;H;EMD =H7F>?97BBO ?D T=KH; J>7J J>; IJ;7:O IJ7J; 97F?J7BZB78EH H7J?E ?D9H;7I;I />; H;7IED ?I J>7J M?J> 7 >?=>;H 97F?J7B FHE:K9J?L?JO ;L;HO KD?J E< B78EH EH ;L;HO MEHA;H FHE:K9;I CEH; EKJFKJ .?D9; ?D J>?I CE:;B I7L?D=I 7D: ?DL;IJC;DJ ?I 7 TN;: FHEFEHJ?ED E< EKJFKJ J>; 7CEKDJ E< ?DL;IJC;DJ F;H MEHA;H 7BIE ?D9H;7I;I FHEFEHJ?ED7BBO JE EKJFKJ #;D9; J>; IJE9A E< 97F?J7B F;H MEHA;H ?D J>; IJ;7:O IJ7J; ?D9H;7I;I
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kˆ Capital
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!# $#
=?L; FD
2D 2D KD $D 'D
!HEC J>; THIJ ;GK7B?JO ?D M; E8J7?D FD D $D 'D 7D: J>;H;; I;9ED: ;GK7B?JO ?D M; E8J7?D KD
D $D 'D
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/>?I 97D 7BIE 8; H;MH?JJ;D 7I 'D 2D MD 'D 'D 9 />?I 7J
MD D ?D
7D: IE MD D ?D
;
M>?9> ?CFB?;I
D ; ?D ; D ?D ; MD
MD MD ; MD !?D7BBO KI?D= 7D: M; >7L; ;I
KD MD ; MD ; KD 7D: IE J>; =HEMJ> H7J; E< J>; M7=; ?I ;G
KD KD ; KD
; 0I?D= 7D: M; E8J7?D ,D
,D
GD 'D KD 'D F GD 'D F KD
'D
7D: KI?D=
,D
; B ;B KD 'D ; B ' ,D
F KD
F F D
IIKC?D= ;B J>; B7IJ ;GK7B?JO ?CFB?;I J>7J ,D
; B F ,D
$DJK?J?L;BO 97F?J7B 799KCKB7J?ED E99KHI M>;D ?D ;L;HO F;H?E: 7==H;=7J; I7L?D=I ;N9;;: 7==H;=7J; :?II7L?D=I 7D: J>?I EDBO J7A;I FB79; ?< J>; JEJ7B =HEMJ> H7J; ?D J>; ;9EDECO ;N9;;:I J>; H7J; E< H;JKHD ED 97F?J7B
7J EKJFKJ F;H KD?J E< B78EH ?I H;B7J;: JE J>; 97F?J7BZ B78EH H7J?E 8O MD #&! ?D 7D: J>7J I7L?D= ?I 7 TN;: FHEFEHJ?ED G E< EKJFKJ 7 2>7J ?I J>; 97F?J7B 799KCKB7J?ED 9ED:?J?ED 8 ;H?L; J>; ;GK7J?ED 9>7H79J;H?P?D= J>; IJ;7:OIJ7J; 97F?J7BB78EH H7J?E 9 !EH J>; F7H7C;J;H L7BK;I ? G B 7D: FBEJ J>; 97F?J7BZB78EH H7J?E 7D: J>; 9EDIKCFJ?EDZB78EH H7J?E 7I 7J ?I J>; ;\;9J E< 7D ?D9H;7I; ?D ED J>; 97F?J7BZB78EH H7J?E ; -;F;7J F7HJ 9 IJ7HJ?D= J>; ;9EDECO 78EL; J>; IJ;7:OIJ7J; 97F?J7BZB78EH H7J?E NFB7?D J>; E8I;HL;: =HEMJ> F7J>
3098.32 7 />; 97F?J7B 799KCKB7J?ED 9ED:?J?ED ?I
B ?D GMD ?D G #&! ?D ?D
M>?9> 97D 8; IEBL;: JE =?L; ?D
G #&! ?D ?D B
8 $D J>; IJ;7:O IJ7J; ?D ?D ? 7D: J>;H;?I ;GK7J?ED 97D >7L; P;HE ED; EH JME IEBKJ?EDI 9 .;; T=KH; : $< J>; L7BK;I E< J>; F7H7C;J;HI 7H; IK9> J>7J J>; ;GK7J?ED ; IJ;7:O IJ7J; 97F?J7BB78EH H7J?E ? >7I JME IEBKJ?EDI ? 7D: ? M>;H; ? ? J>;D 7D ?D9H;7I; ?D H;IKBJI ?D 7 :;9H;7I; ?D ? 7D: ?D 7D ?D9H;7I; ?D ? $< J>;H; M7I EDBO ED; IEBKJ?ED ? 7D ?D9H;7I; ?D H;IKBJI ?D E8J7?D?D= JME IEBKJ?EDI ED; 8;BEM 7D: ED; 78EL; ? ; .;; T=KH; 2>;D J>; ?D?J?7B 97F?J7B ?I 78EL; ?JI IJ;7:OIJ7J; B;L;B
?JI C7H=?D7B FHE:K9J?L?JO ?I BEM #;D9; EL;H J?C; ?DL;IJC;DJ EKJFKJ 7D: 9ED IKCFJ?ED ; 97F?J7B IJE9A :;9H;7I;I ?JI C7H=?D7B FHE:K9J?L?JO H?I;I
7D: ;79> D;NJ :;9H;7I; ?I IC7BB;H J>7D J>; FH;L?EKI ED; #;D9; J>; FHE9;II E< :;9H;7I; ?D J>; 97F?J7BB78EH H7J?E 7D: 9EDIKCFJ?ED IBEMI :EMD 7D: J>; ;9EDECO 9EDL;H=;I JE J>; IJ;7:O IJ7J; ?
; FHE:K9J?ED ; IJ;7:OIJ7J; B;L;B E< 9EDIKCFJ?ED F;H KD?J E< B78EH 7I 7 EM J>7J ?J ?I C7N?C?P;: M>;D ; 3098.32 0I?D= J>; H;IKBJ E< J>; FH;L?EKI ;N;H9?I;
?
G #&! ? B
M; :;H?L; J>; ;NFH;II?ED ; 9EDIKCFJ?ED F;H KD?J E< B78EH ?D J>; IJ;7:O IJ7J; 7I 7 G M G #&! ? />; D;9;II7HO 9ED:?J?ED ; C7N?CKC E< 7 7I 7 ; ;GK7J?ED 78EL; =?L;I 87 G 8? #&! ? 8G ? 8G
! $!
k 6.5 6.25 6 5.75 5.5 5.25 5 4.75 4.5
t 1
3
5
7
9
11
13
15
17
19
21
1
3
5
7
9
11
13
15
17
19
21
c 0.38 0.37 0.36 0.35 0.34 0.33 0.32 0.31 0.3
!?=KH; 7F?J7B IJE9A 7D: 9EDIKCFJ?ED B;L;BI
t
k 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 1
3
5
7
9
11
13
15
17
19
21
t
c 0.55 0.54 0.53 0.52 0.51 0.5 0.49
t 1
3
5
7
9
11 13 15 17 19 21
!?=KH; /H7DI?J?ED I?:;I E< J>; ;GK7J?ED H;IF;9J JE G G 8? 8? #&! ? 8G B B ? 8G
? 8? #&! ? 8G
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.EBL?D= ?I ;NFH;II?ED ?DJE 878G 87 8G
G ? #&! ? #&! ? ? B ? G G #&! ?
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G B ? G IE
B #;D9; 7J J>; L7BK; E< G J>7J C7N?C?P;I 7 M; >7L;
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7D: M?J> B 7D: J>?I =?L;I ? />; L7BK; E< G 97D 8; CE:;B 7I :;I9H?8;: ?D J>; FH;9;:?D= ;N;H9?I; 7D: ?D9BK:; =EL;HDC;DJ IF;D:?D= />; =EL;HDC;DJ FKH9>7I;I ! %; KD?JI E< 9EDIKCFJ?ED =EE: ?D J>; 9KHH;DJ F;H?E: M?J> ; 7 FEI?J?L; 9EDIJ7DJ />; =EL;HDC;DJ TD7D9;I ?JI FK8B?9 FKH9>7I;I M?J> 7 BKCFIKC J7N ED 9EDIKC;HI
M>;H; - ! :;DEJ;I J>; 8K:=;J 87B7D9;: JEJ7B J7N;I .KFFEI; 9EDIKC;HI IF;D: 7 ;?H :?IFEI78B; ?D9EC; M>;H; G ?I J>; I7L?D=I H7J; IE J>7J G 2 - 7 .>EM ?D 7 :?7=H7C >EM J>; 97F?J7BB78EH H7J?E ?I :;J;HC?D;: 7D: M>7J ?JI L7BK; ?I ?D 7 IJ;7:OIJ7J; 8 #EM C7DO IJ;7:O IJ7J;I 7H; FEII?8B;
c
k !?=KH; EDIKCFJ?ED 7D: J>; 97F?J7BB78EH H7J?E
9 ED9;DJH7J; ED J>; IJ;7:O IJ7J; M?J> J>; >?=>;IJ 97F?J7BB78EH H7J?E 2>7J ?I J>; ?CF79J E< 7D ?D9H;7I; ?D FK8B?9 IF;D:?D= F;H MEHA;H ; ED J>; 97F?J7B B78EH H7J?E 7D: EKJFKJ F;H MEHA;H ?D J>; IJ;7:O IJ7J; 2>7J 7H; J>; ;\;9JI ED 7==H;=7J; EKJFKJ 9EDIKCFJ?ED 7D: ?DL;IJC;DJ 2>7J ?I J>; ;\;9J ED J>; =HEMJ> H7J; NFB7?D 8H?;UO 3098.32 7 2?J> J7N;I 7D: =EL;HDC;DJ IF;D:?D= J>; B7M E< CEJ?ED E< J>; 97F?J7B IJE9A ?I $D $D G 2D -D
-D !D ;%D
M>;H;
0FED :?L?:?D= J>; B7M E< CEJ?ED E< J>; 97F?J7B IJE9A 8O %D KD:;H J>; 7IIKCFJ?ED E< 7 9EDIJ7DJ H7J; E< =HEMJ> E< FEFKB7J?ED %D B %D M; E8J7?D
B ?D ?D G MD ;
2?J> MD #&! ?D M; >7L; ?D
G G; ?D #&! ?D B B B
7D: ?D J>; IJ;7:O IJ7J; ?
G; G #&! ? B B
/>?I IJ;7:O IJ7J; ?I I>EMD ?D T=KH;
! $!
Output f (k ) = log(k )
[n + δ ]k sf (k )= s log(k ) sf (k )− sg = s log(k )− sg
k1
k2
Capital
!?=KH; .J;7:O IJ7J;I
8 ;F;D:?D= ED J>; F7H7C;J;HI E< J>; ;9EDECO P;HE ED; EH JME IJ;7:O IJ7J;I 7H; FEII?8B; -;;H; ?I DE IJ;7:O IJ7J; ?< ; ?I IK< T9?;DJBO B7H=; J>7J G #&! ; G; B?;I ;L;HOM>;H; 8;BEM B ? />;H; ?I ED; IJ;7:O IJ7J; ?< B ? ?I J7D=;DJ?7B JE G #&! ; G; *J>;HM?I; J>;H; M?BB 8; J>; JME IJ;7:O IJ7J;I I>EMD 8O ? 7D: ? ?D T=KH; 9 I ED; 97D I;; ; :?7=H7C 7D ?D9H;7I; ?D ; H;IKBJI ?D 7 :;9H;7I; ?D J>; 97F?J7BZB78EH H7J?E 7D: EKJFKJ F;H MEHA;H 7J J>; IJ;7:O IJ7J; M?J> J>; >?=>;H 97F?J7BZB78EH H7J?E ? .?D9; J>; I?P; E< J>; FEFKB7J?ED H;C7?DI J>; I7C; 7==H;=7J; EKJFKJ 7BIE :;9H;7I;I ;97KI; J>; I7L?D=I H7J; ?D J>?I CE:;B ?I TN;: ;NE=;DEKIBO 7 :;9H;7I; ?D EKJFKJ H;IKBJI ?D 7 FHEFEHJ?ED7B :;9H;7I; ?D 8EJ> 9EDIKCFJ?ED 7D: ?DL;IJC;DJ />; =HEMJ> H7J; ?D J>; 7==H;=7J; L7H?78B;I ?I DEJ 7\;9J;: I?D9; ?J ?I ;GK7B JE J>; H7J; E< =HEMJ> E< FEFKB7J?ED />; 9EDL;HI; 7FFB?;I JE J>; IJ;7:O IJ7J; M?J> J>; BEM;H 97F?J7BZB78EH H7J?E
; .EBEM =HEMJ> CE:;B 799EKDJ ; F;HI?IJ;D9; ?D ?D9EC; ?D;GK7B?JO 79HEII 9EKDJH?;I :K; JE F;HI?IJ;DJ :?\;H;D9; ?D FEFKB7J?ED =HEMJ> H7J;I NFB7?D 7D: :?I9KII 3098.32 !EHC7BBO O;I #EM;L;H J>; FEFKB7J?ED =HEMJ> H7J; C7O 8; 7D ;D:E=;DEKI L7H?78B; :;J;HC?D;: ?D F7HJ?9KB7H 8O J>; B;L;B 7D: J>; =HEMJ> H7J; E< D7J?ED7B ?D9EC; $D J>; B?J;H7JKH; ED ;D:E=;DEKI E?9; 7CED= J>; L7H?78B;I J>7J 7\;9J J>; 7=;DJIW :;9?I?EDI ED J>; DKC8;H E< 9>?B:H;D 7D: >;D9; J>; FEFKB7J?ED =HEMJ> H7J; 7H; ;:K97J?ED FHE:K9J?L?JO E< B78EH ?D9EC;
7D: H;B7J;: FEB?9O L7H?78B;I />;H; ?I ;CF?H?97B ;L?:;D9; J>7J 97KI7B?JO HKDI ?D 8EJ> :?H;9J?EDI
; DKC8;H E< MEHA;HI />;H; 7H; JME =HEKFI E< MEHA;HI 7D: M?J> 'D 'D 'D L;HO MEHA;H ?D;B7IJ?97BBO IKFFB?;I ED; KD?J E< B78EH L;HO MEHA;H ?D =HEKF H;IF;9J?L;BO 79>?;L;I 7D ?D9EC; E< K H;IF;9J?L;BO K 7D: 'D KD 'D KD 'D KD
/>; M7=; H7J?E ?I :;TD;: 7I KD KD
/>; FHEFEHJ?ED E< =HEKF ?D J>; FEFKB7J?ED ?I
7 .>EM J>7J J>; M7=; E< ;79> =HEKF ?I =?L;D 8O KD
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8 IIKC; 7 E88EK=B7I FHE:K9J?ED ;H;
MD :;DEJ;I EKJFKJ F;H MEHA;H 7D: ?D ?I J>; 97F?J7B IJE9A F;H MEHA;H GK?B?8H?KC M7=; 7D: ?DJ;H;IJ H7J; 7H; I;J ;GK7B JE FHE:K9J?L?J?;I .>EM J>7J 7L;H7=; M7=; KD ?D9H;7I;I M?J> ?D 9 IIKC; J>7J J>; I7L?D= H7J;I 9 7H; 9EDIJ7DJ =HEKFI M?J> />; 799KCKB7J?ED E< 97F?J7B ?I =?L;D 8O $D ,D M>;H; ,D ?I J>; 7==H;=7J; I7L?D= E< 8EJ> =HEKFI E< 9EDIKC;HI M>;D OEKD= .>EM J>7J J>; IJ;7:OIJ7J; IJE9A E< 97F?J7B F;H MEHA;H ?I ? M>;H;
B
: .>EM J>7J J>; :?IJH?8KJ?ED E< ?D9EC; :E;I DEJ 7\;9J ? ?< NFB7?D J>?I H;IKBJ ; />; IE9?7B FB7DD;H I;;AI JE C7N?C?P; J>; 7L;H7=; IJ;7:OIJ7J; ?D9EC; K 8O H;:?IJH?8KJ?D= ?D9EC; JE 9>7D=; 2>7J ?I J>; EFJ?C7B H;:?IJH?8KJ?ED HKB; ?D J;HCI E< 7I 7 ; I7L?D= H7J;I NFB7?D J>; H;IKBJ 3098.32 7 -;MH?J; ;GK7J?ED 7I 'D 'D K K KD 'D D 'D D
! $!
H;FB79; KD M?J>
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7D: IEBL; 9EDIJ7DJ H;JKHDI JE I97B; 7D: ?DFKJ FH?9;I I;J ;GK7B JE FHE:K9J?L?J?;I FD
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8MD ?D 8?D 2D FD $D MD FD ?D 'D ?D 'D
EC8?D?D= J>?I M?J> M; =;J KD ?D />KI J>; 7L;H7=; M7=; ?I 7D ?D9H;7I?D= ; 7==H;=7J; I7L?D=I 7H; =?L;D 8O ,D KD 'D KD 'D 7D: B7M E< CEJ?ED E< J>; 97F?J7B IJE9A F;H MEHA;H 97D 8; :;H?L;: 7I J>; ; IJ;7:O IJ7J;
,D KD 'D KD 'D $D
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B ? B D ?D ?D ?
7D: 7L; 7D: J>;H; =HEKFI I7L; J>; I7C; ;?H ?D9EC; J>;D J>; 7==H;=7J; I7L?D=I ?I J>; I7C; ; 7==H;=7J; ?D9EC; 7D: ?J ?I J>?I 7J 7\;9JI J>; 97F?J7B IJE9A ?D J>; IJ;7:O IJ7J; H;=7H:B;II E< J>; :?IJH?8KJ?ED E< ?D9EC; ; />; 7L;H7=; ?D9EC; ?D J>; IJ;7:O IJ7J; ?I =?L;D 8O
K
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?\;H;DJ?7J?ED M?J> H;IF;9J JE =?L;I 8K 8 B 8 8
7D: ?I C;7DI J>; 7L;H7=; ?D9EC; ?I :;9H;7I?D= ?D 7D: J>; IE9?7B FB7DD;H M?BB I;J 9BEI; JE P;HE $DJK?J?L;BO 8;97KI; J>; 7L;H7=; ?D9EC; ?D ?D9H;7I?D= ?D J>; 97F?J7B IJE9A J>; IE9?7B FB7DD;H M?BB M7DJ JE ?D9H;7I; J>; 7==H;=7J; I7L?D=I 7D:
J>;H;; =HEKF J>7J I7L;I >?=>;H FHEFEHJ?ED E< J>;?H ?D9EC;
; FH;L?EKI ;N;H9?I; 7D: IKFFEI; J>7J I7L?D= H7J;I E< J>; JME =HEKFI E< 9EDIKC;HI I7J?IEM J>7J J>;H; ;N?IJI 7 KD?GK; H;:?IJH?8KJ?ED HKB; KD KD
J>7J 79>?;L;I J>; "EB:;D -KB; IJE9A E< 97F?J7B 3EK 97D KI; 7 =H7F>?97B 7H=KC;DJ 3098.32 />; "EB:;D -KB; IJE9A E< 97F?J7B ?I =?L;D 8O : ? B
! $!
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/>?I GK7DJ?JO ?I FEI?J?L; 7I BED= 7I CE:;B M?J> KJ?B?JO ; 9ED:?J?EDI :;I9H?8?D= 7 IJ;7:O IJ7J; 8 .EBL; J>;I; 9ED:?J?EDI JE E8J7?D J>; IJ;7:OIJ7J; L7BK;I E< $ 7D: % 9 2>7J ?I J>; ;\;9J ED J>; IJ;7:O IJ7J; E< 7D ?D9H;7I; ?D 3098.32 7 />; 9EDIKC;HWI EFJ?C?P7J?ED FHE8B;C ?I $)
(
D #&! D #&! %D
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!HEC J>; THIJEH:;H 9ED:?J?EDI M; >7L; KD $D % FD $D % D
0FED ;B?C?D7J?ED E< J>; FH?9;I M; E8J7?D 7 IOIJ;C E< :OD7C?9 ;GK7J?EDI :; I9H?8?D= J>; ;GK?B?8H?KC ?D J>?I ;9EDECO D $D
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$ $
%
! $!
?L?:; J>; THIJ ;GK7J?ED ?D J>; IOIJ;C 78EL; 8O $ JE E8J7?D
$
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9 $J ?I ;7IO JE I;; J>7J 7D ?D9H;7I; ?D 97KI;I % JE ?D9H;7I; I?D9; %
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7D: M?J> ?D9H;7I?D= J>; THIJ ; H?=>J>7D: I?:; :;9H;7I;I 7D: J>; J>?H: H;IF;9J JE =?L;I 8 8
% 8% 8
M>?9> 97D 8; H;MH?JJ;D KI?D= J>; ;NFH;II?EDI E8J7?D;: 78EL; ;H;; ?DDEL7J?ED FHE9;II Y ?I9KII J>; ;NF;9J;: H;B7J?ED 8;JM;;D J7N7J?ED 7D: =HEMJ> ?D J>; B?=>J E< J>?I IJ7J;C;DJ 3098.32 BJ>EK=> J7N7J?ED H;:K9;I J>; ?D9;DJ?L;I JE ?DDEL7J; 7D: ?D 9H;7I; FHE:K9J?L?JO J>;H;8O IBEM?D= :EMD J>; ;9EDEC?9 =HEMJ> J>; J7N H;L;DK;I
97D 8; KI;: 7I 7 FK8B?9 ?DFKJ ?D 799KCKB7J?ED E< >KC7D 97F?J7B ;:K97J?ED 7D: ?D J>; ?D?I 97D ?D9H;7I; FHE:K9J?ED ;[9?;D9O 7D: >7L; 7 FEI?J?L; ;\;9J ED =HEMJ>
;H; J>; THIJ E< ?D9EC; ?I J7N ; D;NJ ?I J7N;: 7J F;H9;DJ 7D: 7BB ?D9EC; 78EL; ?I J7N;: 7J F;H9;DJ />;H; ?I 7 FEFKB7J?ED E< 9EDIKC;HI M?J> M>E ;7HD M7=;I 8;JM;;D 7D: F;H >EKH 27=;I 7H; KD?; FEFK B7J?ED $< 7BB 9EDIKC;HI >7L; FH;; C;7D 7L;H7=; J7N H7J; ; FEFKB7J?ED 8 />; C;7D C7H=?D7B J7N H7J; ; FEFKB7J?ED #EM :E J>;I; C;7D H7J;I :?\;H ; 79JK7B H7J;I 3098.32 7 />; J7N ;: ?D T=KH; 7D: ?J 97D 8; I;;D J>7J ?J >7I JME A?DAI 7J ?D9EC;I 7D: />; THIJ IJ;F ?I JE BE97J; 9EDIKC;HI JE FE?DJI ED J>; J7N ;?H 9>E?9; E< ?D9EC; B;L;B />; =;D;H7B ; 9>E?9; FHE8B;C ?I $) #&!
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