Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Primary Prevention (Contemporary Cardiology) 3030988236, 9783030988234

This book is the first comprehensive text dedicated to risk assessment in the primary prevention of atherosclerotic card

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Table of contents :
Preface
Contents
Contributors
Part I: Global Approaches to Risk Assessment
Chapter 1: Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Primary Prevention
Introduction
Importance of Global Cardiovascular Risk Assessment
Global CVD Risk Assessment in Clinical Practice
Risk Calculators to Estimate CVD Risk
Role of Risk Enhancers for Refining and Personalizing Risk Assessment
Cardiovascular Risk Biomarkers
Lipid Parameters
Inflammatory Marker: – hs-CRP
Future Directions
Risk Stratification for Secondary ASCVD Prevention
Tools to Screen for Subclinical Atherosclerosis
Risk Reclassification Using Coronary Artery Calcium Scoring
Carotid Plaque
Ankle–Brachial Index (ABI)
Assessment of Lifetime ASCVD Risk
Risk Assessment in the Context of Shared Decision-Making
Conclusion
References
Chapter 2: Global Approaches to Risk Assessment: The US Guidelines
Introduction
US Guideline Recommendations
Risk-Enhancing Factors
Coronary Artery Calcium Score
Lifetime Risk Assessment
Limitations of Current Approaches to Risk Assessment
Considerations for Enhancing Cardiovascular Risk Assessment
Larger and More Diverse Contemporary Epidemiological Cohorts
Precision Medicine
Social Determinants of Health
Conclusion
References
Chapter 3: European Guidelines for Risk Assessment in the Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease
Introduction
Current European Recommendations for Risk Assessment in CVD Prevention
The New SCORE2 Risk Estimator
Other Risk Scores Endorsed in the 2021 ESC Guideline
SCORE-OP and Other Risk Algorithms Developed by ESC
ADVANCE Risk Score Among Primary Prevention Diabetics (Endorsed but Not Developed by ESC)
SMART-REACH Risk Score for Secondary Prevention Adults (Endorsed but Not Developed by ESC)
LIVE-CVD Score for Primary Prevention Adults Aged 70 Years (Endorsed but Not Developed by ESC)
ESC 2021 Recommendation for the Use of CVD Risk Estimates in Risk Factor Management
Cholesterol Measurement and Management
Hypertension
Diabetes Mellitus
Chronic Kidney Disease
Advice Regarding Antithrombotic Therapy
Summary
References
Part II: Traditional Risk Factors
Chapter 4: Hypercholesterolemia
The Role of Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol in the Development and Progression of Cardiovascular Disease
Primary Prevention in High-Risk Groups
Genetic Disorders/Familial Hypercholesterolemia
Diabetes and the Metabolic Syndrome
Conclusion/Future Directions
References
Chapter 5: Blood Pressure Control in Primary Care
Epidemiology
Guideline Definitions and Treatment Goals
Prevalence, Treatment, and Control in Primary Care
BP Control and Disabling Conditions
Framework
Implications of an Aging Population on Treatment Approach
Steps in BP Management
Measure
Plan
Treat
Monitor
Implementing This Framework into Primary Care
Conclusions
References
Chapter 6: Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Metabolic Syndrome and Diabetes
Introduction
Epidemiology of Metabolic Syndrome, Diabetes, and Cardiovascular Disease
Global Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Metabolic Syndrome and Diabetes
Role of Subclinical Atherosclerosis in Risk Stratification for Metabolic Syndrome and Diabetes
Risk Prediction Strategies in Metabolic Syndrome and Diabetes
Evidence for Multiple Risk Factor Control to Reduce Cardiovascular Risk in Metabolic Syndrome and Diabetes
Conclusions
References
Chapter 7: Primary Prevention: Smoking
Introduction
Smoking and Cardiovascular Risk
Pathophysiology
Smoking Cessation
Behavioral Interventions
Pharmacological Therapies
Nicotine Replacement
Bupropion
Varenicline
Second-Line Therapies
Opportunities for Intervention
References
Chapter 8: At the Heart of the Matter: Obesity and Its Interplay with Preventive Cardiology
Scope of Obesity
Links Between Obesity and Cardiovascular Disease
Assessment of the Patient with Obesity
History
Physical Exam
Review of Medications
Obesity-Related Complications: Metabolic, Mechanical, and Psychosocial
Metabolic Complications
Mechanical
Psychosocial
Treatment of the Patient with Obesity
Behavior Modifications
Dietary Patterns
Physical Activity
Sleep
Stress Management
Antiobesity Pharmacotherapy
Phentermine
Phentermine/Topiramate ER (Qsymia)
Naltrexone/Bupropion (Contrave)
Liraglutide 3.0 mg (Saxenda)
Bariatric Surgery
Challenges and Barriers of Obesity Treatment
Conclusion
References
Part III: Risk Enhancers
Chapter 9: Family History of Premature Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease
Introduction
Epidemiology of Family History of Premature ASCVD
Prevalence of Family History of Premature Cardiovascular Disease
Family History of Premature Cardiovascular Disease and Cardiovascular Risk
Pathophysiology of Familial Cardiovascular Risk
Genetic Determinants of Familial Cardiovascular Risk
Clustering of Cardiovascular Risk Factors and Familial Cardiovascular Risk
Family History of Premature ASCVD in Clinical Practice
Accuracy of Family History of Premature Cardiovascular Disease
Family History of Premature Cardiovascular Disease and Risk Prediction
Clinical Applications of Family History of Premature Cardiovascular Disease
Current Utilization of Family History of Premature Cardiovascular Disease
Ethical, Legal, and Social Implications of Collecting Family History of Premature Cardiovascular Disease
Practical Considerations in Obtaining a Family History
Conclusion
References
Chapter 10: Primary Prevention and Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Women
Sex, Gender, and Genetic Differences in CVD
Cardiovascular Risk Factors in Women
Traditional CVD Risk Factors and Their Impact on Women
Age
Family History
Hypertension
Diabetes
Dyslipidemia
Cigarette Smoking
Physical Activity/Physical Fitness
Metabolic Syndrome
Obesity
High-Sensitivity C-Reactive Protein
Sleep Apnea
Sex-Specific Risk Factors
Age of Menarche
Pregnancy-Associated Conditions
Eclampsia, Preeclampsia, and Gestational Hypertension
Gestational Diabetes
Preterm Delivery
Small-for-Gestational-Age Infant
Miscarriages/Stillbirths
Assisted Reproductive Therapies
Polycystic Ovary Syndrome
Functional Hypothalamic Amenorrhea
Premature Menopause and Premature Ovarian Insufficiency
Reproductive Hormones
Oral Contraceptive Therapy
Postmenopausal Hormone Therapy
Sex-Predominant CVD Risk Factors
Autoimmune Disorders
Breast Arterial Calcification
Breast Cancer Therapy
Cardiovascular Disease Risk Assessment
References
Chapter 11: Ethnic Factors in the Assessment of Cardiovascular Risk for Primary Prevention
Introduction
Ethnic Groups at High Risk for Cardiovascular Disease
Hispanic/Latino Americans
African American/Black Individuals
South Asians
Native Americans (American Indians/Alaska Natives)
East Asians
Overview of Patient Management (Table 11.5)
Future Directions (Table 11.6)
Conclusions
References
Chapter 12: Triglyceride-Rich Lipoproteins
Introduction
Epidemiology of Hypertriglyceridemia
Hypertriglyceridemia as a Risk Enhancer
Metabolism and Atherogenic Potential of Triglyceride-Rich Lipoproteins
Biochemical/Regulatory Pathways of TGs and Lipoproteins
Metabolic Consequences and Impact of TRLs on ASCVD
Landmark Clinical Trials of TRLs and ASCVD
REDUCE-IT
STRENGTH
Why Were Results of REDUCE-IT and STRENGTH Discrepant?
PROMINENT
Current Treatments for HTG
Lifestyle Modifications
Traditional TG-Lowering Therapies
Omega-3 Fatty Acids
Novel and Future Therapies
Apo-CIII Inhibition
Angiopoietin-Like Protein 3 (ANGPTL3) Inhibition
Gemcabene
Fibroblast Growth Factor 21 (FGF21)
Current Recommendations
Summary
References
Chapter 13: Inflammatory Diseases and Risk of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease: A New Focus on Prevention
Introduction
Inflammation in the Initiation and Propagation of Atherosclerosis
Source of Chronic Inflammation in Normal Aging: Aging as an Inflammatory “Disease”
Atherosclerosis in Specific Inflammatory Conditions
Incorporation of Inflammatory Conditions into Risk Assessment
Obesity and Metabolic Syndrome
Rheumatoid Arthritis
Systemic Lupus Erythematosus
Psoriasis
Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV)
Assessment of Inflammation: Role of Markers and Imaging
Inflammatory Markers
hsCRP
Monocytes and Neutrophils
Serum Amyloid A
GlycA
Imaging
Nuclear Imaging
Coronary CT Angiography
Magnetic Resonance Imaging
Therapeutic Targeting of Inflammation for Cardiovascular Risk Reduction
IL-1β Inhibition
IL-6 Inhibition
Colchicine
Low-Dose Methotrexate
Nonsteroidal Anti-inflammatory Drugs
Conclusions
References
Chapter 14: Chronic Kidney Disease Is a Risk Enhancer for Cardiovascular Diseases
Introduction
Epidemiology
Definition of Chronic Kidney Disease
Prevalence of Chronic Kidney Disease
Prevalence of Cardiovascular Disease in Chronic Kidney Disease
Life Expectancy and Cause of Death in Chronic Kidney Disease
Mortality, Morbidity, and Disability in Chronic Kidney Disease
Risk of Cardiovascular Disease
Cardiovascular Mortality
Myocardial Infarction and Coronary Artery Disease
Peripheral Arterial Disease
Stroke
Heart Failure
Valvular Disease
Arrhythmia
Risk Assessment
Traditional and Nontraditional Risk Factors
Biomarkers
Cystatin C
Cardiac Troponin
Natriuretic Peptides
Soluble Urokinase Plasminogen Activator Receptor
Uric Acid
Other Biomarkers
Models for Cardiovascular Disease Risk Prediction
Pathophysiology
Cardiac Disease
Pressure Overload
Volume Overload
Nonhemodynamic Factors
Uremic Cardiomyopathy
Vascular Disease
Atherosclerosis
Calcification
Other Vascular Injuries
Management
Overview
Lifestyle Interventions
Blood Pressure Reduction
Renin–Angiotensin–Aldosterone System Inhibition
Glycemic Control
Lipid Control
Antiplatelet Therapy
Other Therapies
Conclusions
References
Chapter 15: Peripheral Arterial Disease and the Ankle–Brachial Index
Introduction
Peripheral Arterial Disease and Cardiovascular Events
Intermittent Claudication
Effects of PAD on Muscle and Bone
Risk Factors for Peripheral Arterial Disease
The Ankle–Brachial Index
Correlation of ABI Measurements with Cardiovascular Outcomes
References
Part IV: Novel Risk Factors
Chapter 16: Lipoprotein(a)
Introduction
Historical Interest
Measurement
Population Distribution
Influencing Factors
Myocardial Infarction
Aortic Valve Stenosis
Venous Thromboembolism
Diabetes Mellitus
Heart Failure
Ischemic Stroke
Mortality
Familial Hypercholesterolemia
Mechanism of Action
Current Treatment Options
Future Treatment Options
Conclusions
References
Chapter 17: High-Sensitivity C-Reactive Protein
Introduction
The Role of Inflammation in Atherogenesis
Markers of Inflammation: High-Sensitivity C-Reactive Protein
Measurement of High-Sensitivity C-Reactive Protein: Cutpoints, Laboratory Testing, and Variation
Risk Association of High-Sensitivity C-Reactive Protein
Risk Discrimination, Reclassification, and Accuracy of High-Sensitivity C-Reactive Protein
A Review of the Evidence: Inflammatory Markers
The JUPITER Trial
The Low-Dose Colchicine (LoDoCo) Trial
The CANTOS Trial
The Cardiovascular Inflammation Reduction Trial (CIRT)
The Colchicine Cardiovascular Outcomes Trial (COLCOT)
The LoDoCo2 Trial
hsCRP and Inflammatory Markers in Clinical Practice
hsCRP and Inflammatory Markers: The Guidelines
The US Preventive Services Task Force (2009)
American College of Cardiology Foundation (ACCF)/American Heart Association (AHA) (2010)
The ACC/AHA Prevention Guidelines (2013)
The AHA/ACC Multisociety Blood Cholesterol Guideline (2018)
The ACC/AHA Primary Prevention Guideline (2019)
Future Directions
Conclusions
References
Chapter 18: Apolipoprotein B in Primary Prevention: Ready for Time Prime?
Introduction
Apolipoprotein B and Metabolism of Cholesterol
Evidence from Epidemiological Studies
Evidence from Randomized Clinical Trials and Mendelian Randomization Studies
Apolipoprotein Versus Traditional Cholesterol Measures: The Relevance of Discordance
ApoB Versus LDL-C
ApoB Versus Non-HDL-C
Apolipoprotein B for Precision Diagnosis of Dyslipidemia Phenotypes
Apolipoprotein B in Contemporary Clinical Guidelines
Apolipoprotein B Measurement
Conclusions
References
Chapter 19: Social Determinants of Cardiovascular Health
Introduction
Definitions of Social Determinants of Health
Socioeconomic Status and Cardiovascular Disease
Education
Income Level
Employment Status
Environment
Race and Ethnicity, Structural Racism, and Social Determinants of Health
Age and Sex–Gender Relationships to Cardiovascular Health
Age
Sex-Related Cardiovascular Health
Sexual Minority and Cardiovascular Disease
Social Support and Cardiovascular Disease
Physical Networks
Social Media
Health Literacy
Culture and Language
Access to Care
Approachability
Availability, Accommodation, Affordability, Acceptability
COVID-19, Social Determinants of Health, and Cardiovascular Disease
Summary
References
Chapter 20: Stress and Cardiovascular Disease
Introduction
The Effect of Stress on Heart Disease
COVID-19 Pandemic, Isolation, Stress, and CVD
Pathophysiology of Stress and Resilience
Stress Reduction and CVD Prevention
Societal
Interpersonal
Personal
Education and Self-Care
Resilience Cultivation
Clinical Implications
Summary
References
Chapter 21: Polygenic Risk Scores
Introduction to Polygenic Risk Scores
Rationale for Using Polygenic Risk Scores
Construction of Polygenic Risk Scores
Polygenic Risk Scores in Dyslipidemia
LDL Cholesterol
Triglycerides
Polygenic Risk Scores in Coronary Artery Disease
Risk Prediction and Conventional Risk Factors
Risk Stratification and Response to Treatment
Clinical Utility and Unresolved Issues
Conclusion
References
Part V: Atherosclerosis Imaging as a Tool to Refine Risk Estimates
Chapter 22: Coronary Artery Calcium
Introduction
Pathophysiology of Coronary Artery Calcifications
Measurement and Quantification of CAC and Clinically Relevant Cutpoints
CAC Burden as a Predictor of Future ASCVD Events
Younger and Older Adults
Men and Women
Racial/Ethnic Groups
Individuals with a Family History of Premature CHD/ASCVD
The Evolving Role of CAC for Statin Therapy Allocation in Primary Prevention
CAC Compared to Other Biomarkers
CAC for Shared Decision-Making in the Allocation of Statin Therapy and Implications for Adherence
CAC in Current Primary Prevention Guidelines
CAC for the Allocation of Other Preventive Pharmacotherapies Beyond Statins
Aspirin
Blood Pressure (BP) Goals
Diabetes
Hypertriglyceridemia
Severe Hypercholesterolemia and Genetically Confirmed Familial Hypercholesterolemia
Follow-Up on Initial CAC Scan
Conclusions
References
Chapter 23: Cardiac Computed Tomography Angiography for Prevention of Cardiovascular Events
Introduction
Imaging Technique
Safety of Contrast Administration
CCTA Use in Symptomatic Patients
Absence of Plaque on CCTA
Prognostic Implications of Plaque Burden by CCTA
High-Risk Plaque Features
Estimating Plaque Burden
CCTA and Cardiovascular Outcomes
CCTA Use in Symptomatic Patients with Diabetes
CCTA Use in Asymptomatic Patients
CCTA vs. CAC Testing in Primary Prevention: Understanding the Trade-Offs
Summary and Recommendations
References
Chapter 24: Carotid Intima-Media Thickness and Plaque Assessment
Carotid Intima-Media Thickness
Definitions
Ultrasound Imaging Technique
Measurement of Carotid IMT
Predictive Value of Carotid IMT for Future ASCVD Events
Limitations of Carotid IMT
Carotid Plaque
Definitions
Predictive Value of Ultrasound Measured Carotid Plaque
Limitations of Ultrasound Measurement of Carotid Plaque
Comparison of Carotid IMT, Plaque Detection, and Coronary Calcium Measurement
Effects of Carotid Ultrasound Screening on Patient and Physician Behaviors
Future Directions – Tissue Characterization and Quantification of Plaque Volume
References
Index
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Contemporary Cardiology Series Editor: Peter P. Toth

Michael D. Shapiro  Editor

Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Primary Prevention

Contemporary Cardiology Series Editor Peter P. Toth Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine Baltimore, MD, USA

For more than a decade, cardiologists have relied on the Contemporary Cardiology series to provide them with forefront medical references on all aspects of cardiology. Each title is carefully crafted by world-renown cardiologists who comprehensively cover the most important topics in this rapidly advancing field. With more than 75 titles in print covering everything from diabetes and cardiovascular disease to the management of acute coronary syndromes, the Contemporary Cardiology series has become the leading reference source for the practice of cardiac care. More information about this series at https://link.springer.com/bookseries/7677

Michael D. Shapiro Editor

Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Primary Prevention

Editor Michael D. Shapiro Section on Cardiovascular Disease Wake Forest University School of Medicine Winston Salem, NC, USA

ISSN 2196-8969     ISSN 2196-8977 (electronic) Contemporary Cardiology ISBN 978-3-030-98823-4    ISBN 978-3-030-98824-1 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-98824-1 © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2022 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, expressed or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations. This Humana imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature Switzerland AG The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland

Preface

Although management of established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease has improved dramatically, less has been achieved with regard to early detection and risk mitigation in primary prevention. The life trajectory of the average person (with stress, poor diet, excess body weight, inactivity, smoking, exposure to pollutants, and poor management of metabolic comorbidities) still leads straight to the development of this disease. Therefore, we have an unprecedented opportunity to focus on the prevention of atherosclerosis before cardiovascular events occur, an endeavor that starts with expert cardiovascular risk assessment. This is the first comprehensive text dedicated to risk assessment in the primary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, the number one cause of death and disability in the world. It provides a summary of current evidence regarding approaches to risk assessment, traditional and emerging risk factors, and atherosclerosis imaging for refinement of risk estimation. This book will empower readers to perform state-of-the-art risk assessment to facilitate the prevention of cardiovascular disease. In addition, this volume provides a glimpse into the future of the field with in-depth discussion regarding the latest advances and exciting developments in the pipeline. Multiple tables, figures, and illustrations complement the text. It is my sincere hope that Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Primary Prevention will become a valuable resource for physicians, residents, fellows, and medical students in cardiology, endocrinology, primary care, and health promotion and disease prevention. May science lead the way to a healthier future. Winston Salem, NC, USA 1/31/2022

Michael D. Shapiro

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Contents

Part I Global Approaches to Risk Assessment 1 Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Primary Prevention��������������������    3 Aliza Hussain, Mahmoud Al Rifai, Umair Khalid, and Salim S. Virani 2 Global Approaches to Risk Assessment: The US Guidelines ��������������   21 Anurag Mehta, Devinder S. Dhindsa, and Laurence S. Sperling 3 European Guidelines for Risk Assessment in the Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease��������������������������   35 Christian Cawley and John W. McEvoy Part II Traditional Risk Factors 4 Hypercholesterolemia������������������������������������������������������������������������������   61 Ali Agha and Christie M. Ballantyne 5 Blood Pressure Control in Primary Care����������������������������������������������   73 LaShanda Brown, Jeff D. Williamson, and C. Barrett Bowling 6 Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Metabolic Syndrome and Diabetes ��������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������   89 Nathan D. Wong 7 Primary Prevention: Smoking����������������������������������������������������������������  107 Donna Polk 8 At the Heart of the Matter: Obesity and Its Interplay with Preventive Cardiology��������������������������������������������������������������������  123 Jessica Bartfield, Alex Bonnecaze, and Jamy Ard

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Contents

Part III Risk Enhancers 9 Family History of Premature Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease���������������������������������������������������������������������������  149 Amit Khera and Ezimamaka Ajufo 10 Primary Prevention and Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Women ��������������������������������������������������������������������  177 Lori-Ann Peterson, Priya M. Freaney, and Martha Gulati 11 Ethnic Factors in the Assessment of Cardiovascular Risk for Primary Prevention������������������������������������������������������������������  199 Harpreet S. Bhatia, Irvin Xu, Pam R. Taub, and Michael J. Wilkinson 12 Triglyceride-Rich Lipoproteins��������������������������������������������������������������  227 Najdat Bazarbashi and Michael Miller 13 Inflammatory Diseases and Risk of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease: A New Focus on Prevention��������������������������  247 Renato Quispe, Bibin Varghese, and Erin D. Michos 14 Chronic Kidney Disease Is a Risk Enhancer for Cardiovascular Diseases��������������������������������������������������������������������  271 Kishan Padalia and Salim S. Hayek 15 Peripheral Arterial Disease and the Ankle–Brachial Index ����������������  307 Peter P. Toth Part IV Novel Risk Factors 16 Lipoprotein(a)������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������  327 Anne Langsted and Børge G. Nordestgaard 17 High-Sensitivity C-Reactive Protein������������������������������������������������������  347 David I. Feldman, Roger S. Blumenthal, and Ty J. Gluckman 18 Apolipoprotein B in Primary Prevention: Ready for Time Prime? ��������������������������������������������������������������������������������������  377 Renato Quispe, Bibin Varghese, and Seth S. Martin 19 Social Determinants of Cardiovascular Health������������������������������������  391 Melvin R. Echols, Rachel M. Bond, and Keith C. Ferdinand 20 Stress and Cardiovascular Disease��������������������������������������������������������  413 B. S. Rishab Revankar, Koushik R. Reddy, and Kavitha M. Chinnaiyan 21 Polygenic Risk Scores������������������������������������������������������������������������������  429 Mette Christoffersen and Anne Tybjærg-Hansen

Contents

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Part V Atherosclerosis Imaging as a Tool to Refine Risk Estimates 22 Coronary Artery Calcium ����������������������������������������������������������������������  449 Mohamad B. Taha, Dhruv Ahuja, Kershaw V. Patel, Miguel Cainzos-Achirica, and Khurram Nasir 23 Cardiac Computed Tomography Angiography for Prevention of Cardiovascular Events����������������������������������������������������  469 Rhanderson Cardoso and Ron Blankstein 24 Carotid Intima-Media Thickness and Plaque Assessment ������������������  487 Matthew C. Tattersall and James H. Stein Index�������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 505

Contributors

Ali  Agha  Center for Cardiometabolic Disease Prevention, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA Dhruv  Ahuja  Maulana Azad Medical College, University of Delhi, New Delhi, India Ezimamaka  Ajufo  Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, USA Mahmoud  Al Rifai  Section of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA Jamy Ard  Department of Epidemiology and Prevention, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Wake Forest Baptist Medical Center, Greensboro, NC, USA Christie  M.  Ballantyne  Center for Cardiometabolic Disease Prevention, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA Section of Cardiovascular Research, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA Jessica Bartfield  Department of Surgery, Department of Medicine, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Wake Forest Baptist Medical Center Weight Management Center, Greensboro, NC, USA Najdat  Bazarbashi  Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA Harpreet  S.  Bhatia  Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Diego, CA, USA Ron  Blankstein  Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA

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Contributors

Roger  S.  Blumenthal  Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Department of Cardiology, The Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, MD, USA Rachel  M.  Bond  Division of Cardiology (RMB), Chandler Regional Medical Center, Dignity Health, Chandler, AZ, USA Alex Bonnecaze  Obesity Medicine Fellow, Department of Surgery, Department of Endocrinology, Wake Forest Baptist Medical Center, Greensboro, NC, USA C.  Barrett  Bowling  Durham Veterans Affairs Geriatric Research Education and Clinical Center, Durham Veterans Affairs Medical Center (VAMC), Durham, NC, USA LaShanda  Brown  Department of Internal Medicine, Section on Geriatric Medicine, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, USA Miguel  Cainzos-Achirica  Division of Cardiovascular Prevention and Wellness, Department of Cardiology, Houston Methodist DeBakey Heart & Vascular Center, Houston, TX, USA Rhanderson Cardoso  Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA Christian  Cawley  University Hospital Galway and SAOLTA University Health Care Group, Galway, Ireland National University of Ireland Galway, Galway, Ireland Kavitha  M.  Chinnaiyan  Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Beaumont Health, Royal Oak, MI, USA Oakland University William Beaumont School of Medicine, Rochester, MI, USA Mette Christoffersen  Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Section for Molecular Genetics, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark Devinder  S.  Dhindsa  Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA Melvin  R.  Echols  Division of Cardiology (MRE), Department of Medicine, Morehouse School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA David I. Feldman  Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Department of Medicine, The Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, MD, USA Keith  C.  Ferdinand  Division of Cardiology (KCF), Department of Medicine, Tulane University Medical School, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA, USA Section of Cardiology, John W. Deming Department of Medicine, Tulane University School of Medicine, New Orleans, LA, USA Priya M. Freaney  Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, USA

Contributors

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Ty J. Gluckman  Center for Cardiovascular Analytics, Research and Data Science (CARDS), Providence Heart Institute, Providence St. Joseph Health, Portland, OR, USA Martha Gulati  Cedars Sinai Heart Institute, Los Angeles, CA, USA Salim  S.  Hayek  University of Michigan, Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Ann Arbor, MI, USA Aliza Hussain  Section of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA Umair Khalid  Section of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA Department of Medicine, Michael E.  DeBakey VA Medical Center, Section of Cardiology, Houston, TX, USA Amit Khera  Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Cardiology, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, USA Anne  Langsted  Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Herlev and Gentofte Hospital, Copenhagen University Hospital, Herlev, Denmark The Copenhagen General Population Study, Herlev and Gentofte Hospital, Copenhagen University Hospital, Herlev, Denmark Department of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Herlev, Denmark Seth  S.  Martin  Johns Hopkins Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA Welch Center, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA John  W.  McEvoy  University Hospital Galway and SAOLTA University Health Care Group, Galway, Ireland National Institute for Prevention and Cardiovascular Health, National University of Ireland Galway, Galway, Ireland Anurag  Mehta  Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA Erin  D.  Michos  Johns Hopkins Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Baltimore, MD, USA Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA Michael Miller  Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA

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Contributors

Khurram Nasir  Division of Cardiovascular Prevention and Wellness, Department of Cardiology, Houston Methodist DeBakey Heart & Vascular Center, Houston, TX, USA Børge  G.  Nordestgaard  Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Herlev and Gentofte Hospital, Copenhagen University Hospital, Herlev, Denmark The Copenhagen General Population Study, Herlev and Gentofte Hospital, Copenhagen University Hospital, Herlev, Denmark Department of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Herlev, Denmark Kishan  Padalia  University of Michigan, Department of Internal Medicine, Ann Arbor, MI, USA Kershaw V. Patel  Division of Cardiovascular Prevention and Wellness, Department of Cardiology, Houston Methodist DeBakey Heart & Vascular Center, Houston, TX, USA Lori-Ann Peterson  Mayo Clinic, Phoenix, AZ, USA Donna  Polk  Division of Cardiology, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, MA, USA Renato  Quispe  Johns Hopkins Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Baltimore, MD, USA Koushik R. Reddy  Division of Cardiology, James A Haley VA Medical Center, Tampa, FL, USA B.  S.  Rishab  Revankar  The Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA Laurence  S.  Sperling  Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA James  H.  Stein  Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, USA Mohamad  B.  Taha  Division of Cardiovascular Prevention and Wellness, Department of Cardiology, Houston Methodist DeBakey Heart & Vascular Center, Houston, TX, USA Matthew  C.  Tattersall  Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI, USA Pam  R.  Taub  Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Diego, CA, USA CGH Medical Center, Sterling, IL, USA

Contributors

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Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA Anne  Tybjærg-Hansen  Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Section for Molecular Genetics, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark Bibin  Varghese  Johns Hopkins Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease, Baltimore, MD, USA Salim S. Virani  Section of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA Department of Medicine, Michael E.  DeBakey VA Medical Center, Section of Cardiology, Houston, TX, USA Section of Cardiology Health Services Research and Development, Michael E.  DeBakey Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Section of Cardiology, Houston, TX, USA Michael  J.  Wilkinson  Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Diego, CA, USA Jeff  D.  Williamson  Department of Internal Medicine, Section on Geriatric Medicine, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, USA Nathan  D.  Wong  Heart Disease Prevention Program, Division of Cardiology, University of California, Irvine, CA, USA Irvin Xu  School of Medicine, University of California, San Diego, CA, USA

Part I

Global Approaches to Risk Assessment

Chapter 1

Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Primary Prevention Aliza Hussain, Mahmoud Al Rifai, Umair Khalid, and Salim S. Virani

Introduction Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of mortality in the United States, accounting for over 840,000 deaths annually (Benjamin et  al. 2019). There have been significant advancements in therapies targeting cardiovascular risk factors with a resulting reduction in the incidence of CVD and cardiovascular death. Between 2006 and 2016, the overall cardiovascular mortality decreased by 18.6% in the United States (Benjamin et al. 2019). However, a significant proportion of high-­ risk populations are still not receiving therapies with proven benefits in

A. Hussain · M. Al Rifai Section of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA e-mail: [email protected]; [email protected] U. Khalid Section of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA Department of Medicine, Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center, Section of Cardiology, Houston, TX, USA e-mail: [email protected] S. S. Virani (*) Section of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA Department of Medicine, Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center, Section of Cardiology, Houston, TX, USA Section of Cardiology Health Services Research and Development, Michael E. DeBakey Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Section of Cardiology, Houston, TX, USA e-mail: [email protected] © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2022 M. D. Shapiro (ed.), Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Primary Prevention, Contemporary Cardiology, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-98824-1_1

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cardiovascular risk reduction (Pokharel et al. 2016; Virani et al. 2015; Cutler et al. 2008; Thorndike et  al. 2007), which may lead to disease progression and CVD events. On the other hand, pharmacological treatment options do not come without side effects, financial burden, and concern regarding medication compliance. In order to find the right balance, one approach to improve health-care delivery in regard to primary prevention of CVD is to accurately estimate a patient’s absolute risk for CVD and identify those who will derive the greatest absolute benefit from therapy with minimal risk. By using risk assessment models, matching treatment intensity with CVD risk constitutes one of the fundamental tenets of preventive cardiovascular medicine. Global cardiovascular risk assessment is crucial to inform clinical decision-­ making regarding initiation and intensification of cardiovascular risk-reducing therapies for primary prevention of CVD. Simply put, it is a calculation of the absolute risk of having a cardiovascular disease event, such as myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, or incident heart failure, over a specified period of time. Traditionally, risk assessment has been based on empirical equations such as the pooled cohort equations (PCEs) (Goff Jr et al. 2014), which combine cardiovascular risk-­modifying variables such as blood pressure, diabetes, and cholesterol levels. In some cases, such as the use of PCE, these risk assessment tools are also sex- and race-specific. Although risk assessment tools like PCE work well at a population level, they have limitations when applied to individual patients and can over- or underestimate risk in certain populations, including contemporary cohorts, racially diverse non-US populations, and chronic inflammatory conditions [e.g., lupus, rheumatoid arthritis, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)] (Andersson et  al. 2015; Chia et  al. 2014; DeFilippis et al. 2015). As a result, there is growing focus on the identification of novel risk-enhancing conditions and use of biomarkers and cardiovascular imaging to further improve risk stratification and risk reclassification. In this chapter, we aim to provide the rationale behind global CVD risk assessment, highlight major concepts related to risk assessment based on traditional risk factors, and summarize use of novel biomarkers and cardiovascular imaging, either currently under research or used in clinical practice that may help personalize cardiovascular risk assessment.

Importance of Global Cardiovascular Risk Assessment One of the fundamental principles of preventive cardiovascular medicine is to identify patients that are most likely to benefit from risk-reducing therapies. Although relative risk reduction from blood pressure lowering (e.g., 10 mmHg lower systolic blood pressure) or lowering of LDL-C (e.g., 40 mg/dL) may be the same for two individuals, the absolute risk reduction will still be higher for the individual with a baseline risk that is higher. Moreover, in reverse, this may also help identify patients that are more likely to be harmed than helped from therapies such as aspirin, intensive lipid lowering, and/or antihypertensive medications. The reality is that

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health-­care resources are finite, so allocation of health-care resources to match treatment intensity with CVD risk is imperative. Moreover, preventive therapies are more cost-effective when used in those with higher absolute risk. Therefore, assessment of global cardiovascular risk is important to identify those who are most likely to benefit from them. Several factors determine the individual cardiovascular risk for each patient. While earlier models of risk assessment utilized the presence or absence of risk factors for atherosclerotic CVD (including age, gender, family history of premature coronary heart disease, smoking status, hypertension), multiple epidemiological studies have indicated that all risk factors do not contribute equally (Wilson et al. 1998) and the risk is altered by the presence of other nontraditional risk determinants. As a result, several validated population-based risk calculators or tools were developed to accurately define risk by assigning weightage to individual factors. Some of these risk calculators have been adopted by multinational guidelines. The American Heart Association (AHA)/American College of Cardiology (ACC) cholesterol (Grundy et al. 2019) and hypertension (Whelton et al. 2018) guidelines, US Preventive Task Force guideline for aspirin, and European Society of Cardiology/ European Atherosclerosis Society (ESC/EAS) guidelines for the management of dyslipidemia (Mach et al. 2020) recommend the use of global CVD risk to guide primary prevention of CVD.

Global CVD Risk Assessment in Clinical Practice The 2013 AHA/ACC cholesterol guideline (Goff Jr et al. 2014) recommended that clinicians focus on 10-year absolute atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk. While two different individuals may derive the same relative risk reduction from a particular statin medication, the absolute risk reduction will naturally be higher in the individual with higher absolute ASCVD risk. It is for this reason that the intensity of statin therapy was intended to match the absolute risk of CVD with high-risk individuals recommended high-intensity statin and low- to moderate-risk individuals targeted with less intensive therapy. With removal of LDL-C cutoffs in the 2013 guideline, some have mistakenly believed that it is no longer necessary to measure a lipid profile. However, cholesterol measurements continue to remain necessary not only for monitoring response to statin therapy (≥ 50% LDL-C lowering with high-intensity statin and 30–50% with moderate-­ intensity statin) but also for assessing medication adherence. Absolute ASCVD risk is estimated using the pooled cohort equations (PCEs), the risk score introduced by the 2013 AHA/ACC guidelines. The PCEs are sex- and race-specific equations for four groups: white men, white women, black men, and black women. The PCE includes the same risk factors as its predecessor, the Framingham Risk Score (FRS), with two differences: (1) inclusion of stroke as an end point in addition to coronary heart disease (CHD) making ASCVD event as the primary outcome of interest and (2) separate equations for blacks and whites. The

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PCE was derived using several NHLBI-funded population-based cohorts, which included large samples of blacks and whites, unlike FRS, which included only whites. The PCE is therefore better calibrated than the FRS, but in general can overestimate ASCVD risk because the populations included in these cohorts were enrolled a few decades ago when ASCVD event rates were higher compared to contemporary populations. Using the PCE risk cutoff of ≥7.5%, a larger sample of adults now became eligible for statin therapy and there is a concern for overtreatment. This cutoff was chosen as the threshold above which benefits of statin therapy outweigh risks, that is, when the net clinical benefit favors statin therapy. Along with the use of PCE for risk estimation, the 2013 AHA/ACC cholesterol guidelines identified four major statin benefit groups that the 2018 cholesterol guideline (Grundy et  al. 2019) continued to endorse: (1) clinical ASCVD, (2) LDL-C ≥ 190 mg/dL, (3) diabetes mellitus and LDL-C 70–189 mg/dL, and (4) no diabetes, LDL-C 70–189 mg/dL, and ASCVD risk ≥7.5% (Table 1.1). Central to both the 2013 and 2018 guidelines was the clinician–patient risk discussion (CPRD) that incorporates patient preferences and values and the risks and benefits of statin. Patients belonging to these statin benefit groups are not automatically assigned to a statin, but rather in the context of a CPRD, initiation of statin therapy is a shared decision-making process. Importantly, lifestyle recommendations of diet and exercise should be discussed and emphasized among all patients regardless of risk, and statin therapy should be decided together with therapeutic lifestyle changes. A similar shift in clinical practice was also seen in hypertension management, whereby the 2017 ACC/AHA blood pressure (BP) guideline moved away from recommending antihypertensive therapies based solely on absolute BP values to one based on both BP and underlying CVD risk. Specifically, in adults with BP between 130–139/80–89 mmHg and without clinical ASCVD, DM, or CKD, the guideline Table 1.1  Absolute risk thresholds for intervention for primary prevention of ASCVD Intervention Lifestyle modificationsa Antihypertensive therapy (if BP ≥ 140/90 mmHg) Antihypertensive therapy (if BP ≥ 130/80 mmHg) Statin therapy

Absolute risk of ASCVD event over 10 years