Table of contents : Cover......Page 1 Half-title......Page 3 Series-title......Page 4 Title......Page 5 Copyright......Page 6 Dedication......Page 7 Contents......Page 9 List of Tables and Figures......Page 13 List of Abbreviations......Page 15 Acknowledgments......Page 17 Introduction: A World Transformed......Page 19 Overview of the Arguments of this Book......Page 21 Why Was Postcommunist Transition So Arduous?......Page 22 Hadn't a More Gradual Dissolution of the Soviet Union Been Better?......Page 23 Are Oligarchs Pure Parasites?......Page 24 Is the European Union the Best Solution?......Page 25 Have the Postcommunist Countries Achieved Sustainable Economic Growth?......Page 26 Real Socialism......Page 29 Decline and Fall of Socialism......Page 33 The Demise of Communism in Central Europe......Page 38 The Collapse of the Soviet Union......Page 41 2 Shock Therapy versus Gradualism......Page 47 The Radical Reform Program: A Big Bang......Page 49 The Importance of Speed And Comprehensiveness......Page 53 Gradual Reform Programs......Page 55 The Chinese Model......Page 56 Western Arguments for Gradualism......Page 58 Reform Communists Opposing a Normal Market Economy......Page 62 Rent Seeking: The Scourge of Transition......Page 65 Criticism of Radical Reform after the Russian Financial Crash......Page 71 3 Output: Slump and Recovery......Page 75 Sharp Decline in Recorded Output and Varied Recovery......Page 77 Exaggeration of the Slump......Page 81 Radical Reform: Least Decline and Early Recovery......Page 87 Late Reformers: Surged after 1998......Page 93 4 Liberalization: The Creation of a Market Economy......Page 100 Two Strategies of Deregulation......Page 101 Liberalization of Foreign Trade......Page 107 Labor Market Policy......Page 110 Combat of Monopoly: Gas and Coal......Page 114 A Big Bang: Vital in Deregulation......Page 119 High and Persistent Inflation......Page 122 Establishing National Currencies......Page 126 Radical Fiscal Adjustment Was Key......Page 129 Tax Policy: From Social Democratic to Liberal......Page 134 Monetary Policy: From Loose to Strict......Page 137 Entrepreneurial but Problematic Banking Systems......Page 139 Exchange Rates: Currency Board or Free Float......Page 141 Dramas of Financial Stabilization......Page 145 The Arrears Crisis......Page 150 The Russian Financial Crash of 1998......Page 151 Major Lessons from Postcommunist Stabilization......Page 156 6 Privatization: The Establishment of Private Property Rights......Page 161 Differing Aims of Privatization......Page 162 The Political Goal: Depoliticization of Enterprises......Page 163 The Key Economic Goal: Building the Foundation of a Market Economy......Page 164 What Justice?......Page 167 The Specter of Spontaneous Privatization......Page 168 Choices of Privatization......Page 171 Small-Scale Privatization: If Started, Swiftly Done......Page 172 Large-Scale Privatization: The Biggest Headache......Page 173 Privatization of Land, Real Estate, and Housing......Page 182 New Enterprise Development: The Ultimate Success......Page 183 Great Achievements of Privatization......Page 186 Vital: Speed and Legitimacy of Property Rights......Page 196 7 An Inefficient Social System......Page 200 Incomes: Differentiation and Poverty......Page 201 Life and Health......Page 205 Declining Male Life Expectancy......Page 206 Falling Infant Mortality......Page 207 Confusing Demographic Developments......Page 211 Education Adjusting to Demand......Page 212 Social Transfers and Pension Reform......Page 215 The Dilemmas of a Social Safety Net......Page 216 An Expensive but Inadequate Pension System......Page 219 Three Alternative Social Models......Page 221 8 Democracy versus Authoritarianism......Page 224 Democratic Breakthrough: Critical for Successful Transformation......Page 225 An Underreform Trap......Page 233 Renewed Democratization: Colored Revolutions......Page 239 Parties, Electoral Rules, and Constitutions......Page 242 How toTame the Leviathan: Reform of the Communist State......Page 248 Public Opinion and Ideology......Page 250 Democracy and Democracy Aid......Page 254 9 From Crime toward Law......Page 259 An Explosion of Crime......Page 260 Attempts at Building a Legal System......Page 263 Corruption: The Bane of Transition......Page 267 10 The Role of Oligarchs......Page 274 Who are the Oligarchs?......Page 275 The Economics of Oligarchy......Page 277 The Politics of Oligarchy......Page 282 Complaints: A Matter of Ideology......Page 285 A Question of Property Rights......Page 290 Putin's Alternative: Centralized Dictatorship......Page 294 11 The Impact of the Outside World......Page 299 The Dream of Europe......Page 300 Western Failure to Act in the East......Page 304 Trade Policy: A Gulf Between the EU and the CIS......Page 310 International Assistance: Insufficient but Crucial......Page 315 Five Models......Page 323 Achievements and Revelations......Page 325 Why Certain Policies Worked and Others Did Not......Page 329 Bibliography......Page 333 Index......Page 361