Empirical Model Building: Data, Models, and Reality (Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics) [2 ed.] 0470467037, 9780470467039
Praise for the First Edition"This...novel and highly stimulating book, which emphasizes solving real problems...sho
271 37 5MB
English Pages 459 Year 2011
Table of contents :
CoverPage......Page 1
FrontMatter......Page 2
TitlePage......Page 4
CopyRight......Page 5
Dedication......Page 6
Contents......Page 8
Preface......Page 14
1 Models of Growth and Decay......Page 20
2 Models of Competition, Survival, and Combat......Page 58
3 Epidemics......Page 94
4 Bootstrapping......Page 130
5 Monte Carlo Solutions ofDifferential Equations......Page 150
6 SIMDAT, SIMEST, and Pseudoreality......Page 166
7 Exploratory Data Analysis......Page 194
8 Noise Killing Chaos......Page 212
9 A Primer in Bayesian Data Analysis......Page 228
10 Multivariate and Robust Procedures in Statistical Process Control......Page 248
11 Considerations for Optimization and Estimation in the Real (Noisy) World......Page 268
12 Utility and Group Preference......Page 292
13 A Primer in Sampling......Page 324
14 The Stock Market......Page 346
References......Page 404
Appendix A A Brief Introduction to Probability and Statistics......Page 406
Appendix B Statistical Tables......Page 444
Index......Page 446
CoverPage......Page 1
FrontMatter......Page 2
TitlePage......Page 4
CopyRight......Page 5
Dedication......Page 6
Contents......Page 8
Preface......Page 14
1 Models of Growth and Decay......Page 20
2 Models of Competition, Survival, and Combat......Page 58
3 Epidemics......Page 94
4 Bootstrapping......Page 130
5 Monte Carlo Solutions ofDifferential Equations......Page 150
6 SIMDAT, SIMEST, and Pseudoreality......Page 166
7 Exploratory Data Analysis......Page 194
8 Noise Killing Chaos......Page 212
9 A Primer in Bayesian Data Analysis......Page 228
10 Multivariate and Robust Procedures in Statistical Process Control......Page 248
11 Considerations for Optimization and Estimation in the Real (Noisy) World......Page 268
12 Utility and Group Preference......Page 292
13 A Primer in Sampling......Page 324
14 The Stock Market......Page 346
References......Page 404
Appendix A A Brief Introduction to Probability and Statistics......Page 406
Appendix B Statistical Tables......Page 444
Index......Page 446
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